Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio maintains a dominant position in the Pennsylvania 17th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s D+3 partisan lean, his established incumbency advantage, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Guy. Deluzio advanced unopposed in the May primary while Guy, the Beaver County sheriff, narrowly secured the GOP nomination against a local challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with recent election results and the district’s suburban and exurban composition around Pittsburgh. Guy’s campaign has operated with limited resources and visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,532 Vol.
$15,532 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chris Deluzio (D)
94%
Tony Guy (R)
6%
$15,532 Vol.
$15,532 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Chris Deluzio (D)
$2,326 Vol.
94%
Tony Guy (R)
$13,206 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio maintains a dominant position in the Pennsylvania 17th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s D+3 partisan lean, his established incumbency advantage, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Guy. Deluzio advanced unopposed in the May primary while Guy, the Beaver County sheriff, narrowly secured the GOP nomination against a local challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with recent election results and the district’s suburban and exurban composition around Pittsburgh. Guy’s campaign has operated with limited resources and visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$15,532End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio maintains a dominant position in the Pennsylvania 17th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s D+3 partisan lean, his established incumbency advantage, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Guy. Deluzio advanced unopposed in the May primary while Guy, the Beaver County sheriff, narrowly secured the GOP nomination against a local challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with recent election results and the district’s suburban and exurban composition around Pittsburgh. Guy’s campaign has operated with limited resources and visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,532End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio maintains a dominant position in the Pennsylvania 17th congressional district race, reflecting the district’s D+3 partisan lean, his established incumbency advantage, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Guy. Deluzio advanced unopposed in the May primary while Guy, the Beaver County sheriff, narrowly secured the GOP nomination against a local challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with recent election results and the district’s suburban and exurban composition around Pittsburgh. Guy’s campaign has operated with limited resources and visibility. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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