The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign on Cuba has intensified since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, with an energy embargo and tariffs cutting off Venezuelan and Mexican oil supplies and triggering widespread blackouts and economic strain on the island. U.S. officials have combined sanctions, an executive order declaring a national emergency, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro with visible military positioning, including the USS Nimitz carrier strike group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, Marine rotations, and SOUTHCOM contingency planning for possible limited strikes or leadership-extraction operations. Cuba has responded with defensive drills and warnings while acquiring drones reportedly from Russia and Iran, and bilateral talks continue amid congressional efforts to constrain unauthorized action. These developments shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$6,048,582 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
44%
$6,048,582 交易量
12月31日
$3,869,477 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign on Cuba has intensified since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, with an energy embargo and tariffs cutting off Venezuelan and Mexican oil supplies and triggering widespread blackouts and economic strain on the island. U.S. officials have combined sanctions, an executive order declaring a national emergency, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro with visible military positioning, including the USS Nimitz carrier strike group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, Marine rotations, and SOUTHCOM contingency planning for possible limited strikes or leadership-extraction operations. Cuba has responded with defensive drills and warnings while acquiring drones reportedly from Russia and Iran, and bilateral talks continue amid congressional efforts to constrain unauthorized action. These developments shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
交易量
$6,048,582结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign on Cuba has intensified since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, with an energy embargo and tariffs cutting off Venezuelan and Mexican oil supplies and triggering widespread blackouts and economic strain on the island. U.S. officials have combined sanctions, an executive order declaring a national emergency, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro with visible military positioning, including the USS Nimitz carrier strike group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, Marine rotations, and SOUTHCOM contingency planning for possible limited strikes or leadership-extraction operations. Cuba has responded with defensive drills and warnings while acquiring drones reportedly from Russia and Iran, and bilateral talks continue amid congressional efforts to constrain unauthorized action. These developments shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$6,048,582结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign on Cuba has intensified since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, with an energy embargo and tariffs cutting off Venezuelan and Mexican oil supplies and triggering widespread blackouts and economic strain on the island. U.S. officials have combined sanctions, an executive order declaring a national emergency, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro with visible military positioning, including the USS Nimitz carrier strike group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, Marine rotations, and SOUTHCOM contingency planning for possible limited strikes or leadership-extraction operations. Cuba has responded with defensive drills and warnings while acquiring drones reportedly from Russia and Iran, and bilateral talks continue amid congressional efforts to constrain unauthorized action. These developments shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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