President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell if he lingers beyond his May 15 Fed Chair term expiration has heightened uncertainty, fueling trader consensus for a late May or early June departure as top outcomes at 17.5% each. Powell pledged in March to serve interim until successor Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation, but Warsh's April 21 hearing faces hurdles from GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations lacking criminal evidence. This procedural standoff, amid legal debates over post-term removal powers, keeps the race tight across May-June bins; swift confirmation could accelerate exit, while blocks or firing attempts might push it later.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 30–June 5 18%
June 6–12 18%
May 15–22 13%
June 27–July 3 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
5%
May 15–22
13%
May 23–29
8%
May 30–June 5
18%
June 6–12
18%
June 13–19
8%
June 20–26
9%
June 27–July 3
11%
After July 3
11%
May 30–June 5 18%
June 6–12 18%
May 15–22 13%
June 27–July 3 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
$94 Vol.
5%
May 15–22
$198 Vol.
13%
May 23–29
$95 Vol.
8%
May 30–June 5
$40 Vol.
18%
June 6–12
$59 Vol.
18%
June 13–19
$0 Vol.
8%
June 20–26
$61 Vol.
9%
June 27–July 3
$0 Vol.
11%
After July 3
$61 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell if he lingers beyond his May 15 Fed Chair term expiration has heightened uncertainty, fueling trader consensus for a late May or early June departure as top outcomes at 17.5% each. Powell pledged in March to serve interim until successor Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation, but Warsh's April 21 hearing faces hurdles from GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations lacking criminal evidence. This procedural standoff, amid legal debates over post-term removal powers, keeps the race tight across May-June bins; swift confirmation could accelerate exit, while blocks or firing attempts might push it later.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$607End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell if he lingers beyond his May 15 Fed Chair term expiration has heightened uncertainty, fueling trader consensus for a late May or early June departure as top outcomes at 17.5% each. Powell pledged in March to serve interim until successor Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation, but Warsh's April 21 hearing faces hurdles from GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations lacking criminal evidence. This procedural standoff, amid legal debates over post-term removal powers, keeps the race tight across May-June bins; swift confirmation could accelerate exit, while blocks or firing attempts might push it later.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$607End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell if he lingers beyond his May 15 Fed Chair term expiration has heightened uncertainty, fueling trader consensus for a late May or early June departure as top outcomes at 17.5% each. Powell pledged in March to serve interim until successor Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation, but Warsh's April 21 hearing faces hurdles from GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations lacking criminal evidence. This procedural standoff, amid legal debates over post-term removal powers, keeps the race tight across May-June bins; swift confirmation could accelerate exit, while blocks or firing attempts might push it later.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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