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icon for Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?
World·Culture

Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

icon for Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?
World·Culture

Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Polymarket

$1,869 Vol.

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The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Harald V’s death on 28 August 2026 at age 89, after a brief final hospitalization for infection complications, has set the stage for his 9 September state funeral at Oslo Cathedral, with burial at Akershus Fortress. Trader attention centers on confirmed European royal attendance, including Denmark’s King Frederik X and Queen Mary, the full Dutch delegation led by King Willem-Alexander and Queen Máxima plus Princess Beatrix and Princess Amalia, Belgium’s King Philippe and Queen Mathilde, and Japan’s Crown Prince Akishino and Crown Princess Kiko. These announcements, alongside security preparations for the largest operation in recent Norwegian history and exclusions for certain nations, shape implied probabilities. Family transitions under new King Haakon VIII and lingering domestic scrutiny add context, though outcomes hinge on last-minute confirmations before the ceremony.

The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,869
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Harald V’s death on 28 August 2026 at age 89, after a brief final hospitalization for infection complications, has set the stage for his 9 September state funeral at Oslo Cathedral, with burial at Akershus Fortress. Trader attention centers on confirmed European royal attendance, including Denmark’s King Frederik X and Queen Mary, the full Dutch delegation led by King Willem-Alexander and Queen Máxima plus Princess Beatrix and Princess Amalia, Belgium’s King Philippe and Queen Mathilde, and Japan’s Crown Prince Akishino and Crown Princess Kiko. These announcements, alongside security preparations for the largest operation in recent Norwegian history and exclusions for certain nations, shape implied probabilities. Family transitions under new King Haakon VIII and lingering domestic scrutiny add context, though outcomes hinge on last-minute confirmations before the ceremony.

The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,869
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jonas Gahr Støre" at 99%, followed by "Alexander Stubb" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" is "Jonas Gahr Støre" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Stubb" at 98%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.