The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Amsterdam on April 15, featuring light showers alternating with sun and a 30% precipitation chance under southerly winds at force 3. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster around 18°C, but select deterministic runs indicate potential for 19°C if cloud cover thins, fueling trader consensus with 19°C leading at 40.5% implied probability ahead of 18°C at 26%. This mild outlook follows the Netherlands' first official warm day (over 20°C) at De Bilt last week, amid above-seasonal April norms driven by persistent high-pressure influences. Uncertainty persists in shower timing and insolation, with KNMI hourly nowcasts expected to refine peak conditions before resolution based on Schiphol Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
19°C 45%
18°C 26%
20°C 12.0%
17°C 6%
$15,195 Vol.
$15,195 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
40%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 45%
18°C 26%
20°C 12.0%
17°C 6%
$15,195 Vol.
$15,195 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
40%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Amsterdam on April 15, featuring light showers alternating with sun and a 30% precipitation chance under southerly winds at force 3. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster around 18°C, but select deterministic runs indicate potential for 19°C if cloud cover thins, fueling trader consensus with 19°C leading at 40.5% implied probability ahead of 18°C at 26%. This mild outlook follows the Netherlands' first official warm day (over 20°C) at De Bilt last week, amid above-seasonal April norms driven by persistent high-pressure influences. Uncertainty persists in shower timing and insolation, with KNMI hourly nowcasts expected to refine peak conditions before resolution based on Schiphol Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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