Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 11, driven by lingering skepticism toward BMKG forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25–32°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain across DKI Jakarta districts. Recent days logged maximums of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover, aligning with April's climatological average high near 32°C during the monsoon-to-dry-season transition, while urban heat island effects in densely built areas like central Jakarta often push official station readings (e.g., Halim Perdanakusuma) above model guidance. March's spikes to 34°C reinforce this positioning, though BMKG's early warnings for potential heavier rain introduce uncertainty; watch hourly updates and afternoon observations for shifts before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 11?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 11?
34°C or higher 51%
33°C 33%
32°C 17%
29°C <1%
$17,398 Vol.
$17,398 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
17%
33°C
33%
34°C or higher
51%
34°C or higher 51%
33°C 33%
32°C 17%
29°C <1%
$17,398 Vol.
$17,398 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
29°C
$1,968 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,858 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,244 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,519 Vol.
17%
33°C
$295 Vol.
33%
34°C or higher
$880 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 11, driven by lingering skepticism toward BMKG forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25–32°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain across DKI Jakarta districts. Recent days logged maximums of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover, aligning with April's climatological average high near 32°C during the monsoon-to-dry-season transition, while urban heat island effects in densely built areas like central Jakarta often push official station readings (e.g., Halim Perdanakusuma) above model guidance. March's spikes to 34°C reinforce this positioning, though BMKG's early warnings for potential heavier rain introduce uncertainty; watch hourly updates and afternoon observations for shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$17,398Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 11, driven by lingering skepticism toward BMKG forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25–32°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain across DKI Jakarta districts. Recent days logged maximums of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover, aligning with April's climatological average high near 32°C during the monsoon-to-dry-season transition, while urban heat island effects in densely built areas like central Jakarta often push official station readings (e.g., Halim Perdanakusuma) above model guidance. March's spikes to 34°C reinforce this positioning, though BMKG's early warnings for potential heavier rain introduce uncertainty; watch hourly updates and afternoon observations for shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,398Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 53.5% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 11, driven by lingering skepticism toward BMKG forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25–32°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain across DKI Jakarta districts. Recent days logged maximums of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover, aligning with April's climatological average high near 32°C during the monsoon-to-dry-season transition, while urban heat island effects in densely built areas like central Jakarta often push official station readings (e.g., Halim Perdanakusuma) above model guidance. March's spikes to 34°C reinforce this positioning, though BMKG's early warnings for potential heavier rain introduce uncertainty; watch hourly updates and afternoon observations for shifts before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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