Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C on April 12, driven by the city's persistent urban heat island effect—which routinely elevates readings 2–3°C above rural baselines—and recent days' highs of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover. BMKG's latest forecasts indicate partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs around 32°C and humidity 75–85%, potentially capping intensity via convective cooling, amid early warnings for heavy rain in Jabodetabek through April 12. April climatology averages 32–33°C during the rainy-to-dry season transition, but model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing keeps 33–35°C viable; monitor BMKG hourly updates for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
33°C 36%
34°C 36%
32°C 19%
35°C 16.9%
$10,331 Vol.
$10,331 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
36%
34°C
36%
35°C
17%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
34°C 36%
32°C 19%
35°C 16.9%
$10,331 Vol.
$10,331 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
27°C or below
$890 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$986 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,366 Vol.
1%
31°C
$997 Vol.
5%
32°C
$808 Vol.
19%
33°C
$510 Vol.
36%
34°C
$933 Vol.
36%
35°C
$762 Vol.
17%
36°C
$578 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$1,945 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C on April 12, driven by the city's persistent urban heat island effect—which routinely elevates readings 2–3°C above rural baselines—and recent days' highs of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover. BMKG's latest forecasts indicate partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs around 32°C and humidity 75–85%, potentially capping intensity via convective cooling, amid early warnings for heavy rain in Jabodetabek through April 12. April climatology averages 32–33°C during the rainy-to-dry season transition, but model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing keeps 33–35°C viable; monitor BMKG hourly updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$10,331Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C on April 12, driven by the city's persistent urban heat island effect—which routinely elevates readings 2–3°C above rural baselines—and recent days' highs of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover. BMKG's latest forecasts indicate partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs around 32°C and humidity 75–85%, potentially capping intensity via convective cooling, amid early warnings for heavy rain in Jabodetabek through April 12. April climatology averages 32–33°C during the rainy-to-dry season transition, but model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing keeps 33–35°C viable; monitor BMKG hourly updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,331Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 36% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 34°C on April 12, driven by the city's persistent urban heat island effect—which routinely elevates readings 2–3°C above rural baselines—and recent days' highs of 30–32°C under patchy cloud cover. BMKG's latest forecasts indicate partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs around 32°C and humidity 75–85%, potentially capping intensity via convective cooling, amid early warnings for heavy rain in Jabodetabek through April 12. April climatology averages 32–33°C during the rainy-to-dry season transition, but model uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing keeps 33–35°C viable; monitor BMKG hourly updates for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes