Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 22-24°C for Madrid at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 4, fueling tight trader consensus with 24°C (32.5%) edging 23°C (28.5%). Today's observed high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies transitions to sunnier conditions tomorrow via a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, promoting greater solar insolation and daytime heating above April's climatological average of 18°C. Key differentiators include model discrepancies in afternoon boundary layer development and potential low-level clouds, which could shave or add 1°C to the peak. AEMET hourly updates and airport observations remain pivotal, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty in short-range mesoscale predictions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 4?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 4?
24°C 34%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 14%
$17,874 Vol.
$17,874 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C
29%
24°C
34%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 34%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 14%
$17,874 Vol.
$17,874 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$2,260 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,367 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,224 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,235 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,490 Vol.
6%
22°C
$1,783 Vol.
14%
23°C
$1,922 Vol.
29%
24°C
$1,888 Vol.
34%
25°C
$1,847 Vol.
15%
26°C
$1,468 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$1,394 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 22-24°C for Madrid at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 4, fueling tight trader consensus with 24°C (32.5%) edging 23°C (28.5%). Today's observed high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies transitions to sunnier conditions tomorrow via a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, promoting greater solar insolation and daytime heating above April's climatological average of 18°C. Key differentiators include model discrepancies in afternoon boundary layer development and potential low-level clouds, which could shave or add 1°C to the peak. AEMET hourly updates and airport observations remain pivotal, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty in short-range mesoscale predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Volume
$17,874Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 4:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 22-24°C for Madrid at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 4, fueling tight trader consensus with 24°C (32.5%) edging 23°C (28.5%). Today's observed high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies transitions to sunnier conditions tomorrow via a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, promoting greater solar insolation and daytime heating above April's climatological average of 18°C. Key differentiators include model discrepancies in afternoon boundary layer development and potential low-level clouds, which could shave or add 1°C to the peak. AEMET hourly updates and airport observations remain pivotal, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty in short-range mesoscale predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,874Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 4:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 22-24°C for Madrid at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport on April 4, fueling tight trader consensus with 24°C (32.5%) edging 23°C (28.5%). Today's observed high near 21°C under partly cloudy skies transitions to sunnier conditions tomorrow via a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, promoting greater solar insolation and daytime heating above April's climatological average of 18°C. Key differentiators include model discrepancies in afternoon boundary layer development and potential low-level clouds, which could shave or add 1°C to the peak. AEMET hourly updates and airport observations remain pivotal, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty in short-range mesoscale predictions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes