Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 26%
22°C 23.0%
19°C 4.5%
NOUVEAU
$89,500 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$89,500 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
26%
21°C
40%
22°C
23%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 40%
20°C 26%
22°C 23.0%
19°C 4.5%
NOUVEAU
$89,500 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$89,500 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
17°C
$9,390 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,626 Vol.
1%
19°C
$7,016 Vol.
5%
20°C
$4,619 Vol.
26%
21°C
$4,801 Vol.
40%
22°C
$6,916 Vol.
23%
23°C
$6,373 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$7,966 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$89,500Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,500Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 14 projects a daytime high of 21°C in Tokyo on April 15 under mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers later, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability on that outcome and strong support for the 20–22°C cluster exceeding 85%. Recent observations at Haneda Airport—the official resolution station via Wunderground—hit 21.4°C today amid a warmer-than-average spring pattern, where mid-April highs typically hover near 19°C baseline from historical data. Forecast uncertainty stems from cloud cover potentially suppressing peaks to 20°C or minor wind shifts allowing 22°C; final JMA measurements tomorrow will resolve as models like those from international sources show minor divergence around 21–22°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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