Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 15, projects daytime highs of 25-29°C for April 16 under a persistent southerly airstream advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea, coupled with an anticyclone aloft promoting subsidence and sunny periods that favor heating toward the upper end. This underpins trader consensus with 28°C at 39.5% and 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting model agreement on "hot during the day" conditions amid low rain chances. Differentiating factors include potential evening showers capping peaks, urban heat island effects at key stations like King's Park, and minor cloud variability; recent nighttime readings near 27°C signal sustained warmth above April climatological averages of around 26°C. Watch for HKO's afternoon update as morning soundings could shift ensemble guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
30°C or higher 17%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
39%
29°C
31%
30°C or higher
17%
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
30°C or higher 17%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
20°C or below
$1,622 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,756 Vol.
1%
24°C
$421 Vol.
1%
25°C
$839 Vol.
1%
26°C
$844 Vol.
5%
27°C
$357 Vol.
15%
28°C
$183 Vol.
39%
29°C
$148 Vol.
31%
30°C or higher
$212 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 15, projects daytime highs of 25-29°C for April 16 under a persistent southerly airstream advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea, coupled with an anticyclone aloft promoting subsidence and sunny periods that favor heating toward the upper end. This underpins trader consensus with 28°C at 39.5% and 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting model agreement on "hot during the day" conditions amid low rain chances. Differentiating factors include potential evening showers capping peaks, urban heat island effects at key stations like King's Park, and minor cloud variability; recent nighttime readings near 27°C signal sustained warmth above April climatological averages of around 26°C. Watch for HKO's afternoon update as morning soundings could shift ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$9,725Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 15, projects daytime highs of 25-29°C for April 16 under a persistent southerly airstream advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea, coupled with an anticyclone aloft promoting subsidence and sunny periods that favor heating toward the upper end. This underpins trader consensus with 28°C at 39.5% and 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting model agreement on "hot during the day" conditions amid low rain chances. Differentiating factors include potential evening showers capping peaks, urban heat island effects at key stations like King's Park, and minor cloud variability; recent nighttime readings near 27°C signal sustained warmth above April climatological averages of around 26°C. Watch for HKO's afternoon update as morning soundings could shift ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,725Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 15, projects daytime highs of 25-29°C for April 16 under a persistent southerly airstream advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea, coupled with an anticyclone aloft promoting subsidence and sunny periods that favor heating toward the upper end. This underpins trader consensus with 28°C at 39.5% and 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting model agreement on "hot during the day" conditions amid low rain chances. Differentiating factors include potential evening showers capping peaks, urban heat island effects at key stations like King's Park, and minor cloud variability; recent nighttime readings near 27°C signal sustained warmth above April climatological averages of around 26°C. Watch for HKO's afternoon update as morning soundings could shift ensemble guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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