Latest guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projects a high pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over central Mexico, yielding peak afternoon temperatures near 29°C in Mexico City on April 16 and driving 36% trader consensus on that outcome. Recent observations show highs of 27-28°C over the past week under persistent dry season conditions with northerly winds inhibiting convection, exceeding the April climatological average of 26°C at the Tacubaya observatory due to urban heat island amplification and intense diurnal solar heating at 2,240 meters elevation. Probabilities cluster tightly around 28-30°C (combined ~82%) reflecting model agreement amid low uncertainty, though minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim peaks; watch SMN's final bulletin and real-time measurements for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
29°C 35%
28°C 25%
30°C 21%
26°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C
10%
28°C
25%
29°C
35%
30°C
21%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 35%
28°C 25%
30°C 21%
26°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
22°C or below
$430 Vol.
1%
23°C
$470 Vol.
1%
24°C
$54 Vol.
2%
25°C
$4 Vol.
9%
26°C
$40 Vol.
12%
27°C
$77 Vol.
10%
28°C
$3 Vol.
25%
29°C
$8 Vol.
35%
30°C
$8 Vol.
21%
31°C
$17 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$15 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projects a high pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over central Mexico, yielding peak afternoon temperatures near 29°C in Mexico City on April 16 and driving 36% trader consensus on that outcome. Recent observations show highs of 27-28°C over the past week under persistent dry season conditions with northerly winds inhibiting convection, exceeding the April climatological average of 26°C at the Tacubaya observatory due to urban heat island amplification and intense diurnal solar heating at 2,240 meters elevation. Probabilities cluster tightly around 28-30°C (combined ~82%) reflecting model agreement amid low uncertainty, though minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim peaks; watch SMN's final bulletin and real-time measurements for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Volume
$1,125Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projects a high pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over central Mexico, yielding peak afternoon temperatures near 29°C in Mexico City on April 16 and driving 36% trader consensus on that outcome. Recent observations show highs of 27-28°C over the past week under persistent dry season conditions with northerly winds inhibiting convection, exceeding the April climatological average of 26°C at the Tacubaya observatory due to urban heat island amplification and intense diurnal solar heating at 2,240 meters elevation. Probabilities cluster tightly around 28-30°C (combined ~82%) reflecting model agreement amid low uncertainty, though minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim peaks; watch SMN's final bulletin and real-time measurements for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,125Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projects a high pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over central Mexico, yielding peak afternoon temperatures near 29°C in Mexico City on April 16 and driving 36% trader consensus on that outcome. Recent observations show highs of 27-28°C over the past week under persistent dry season conditions with northerly winds inhibiting convection, exceeding the April climatological average of 26°C at the Tacubaya observatory due to urban heat island amplification and intense diurnal solar heating at 2,240 meters elevation. Probabilities cluster tightly around 28-30°C (combined ~82%) reflecting model agreement amid low uncertainty, though minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim peaks; watch SMN's final bulletin and real-time measurements for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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