Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Jakarta high of 33°C at 39.5% implied probability for April 16, reflecting the latest BMKG forecast of light rain across DKI Jakarta with maximums of 23–31°C amid 67–98% humidity, tempered by AccuWeather's model projecting 32°C (90°F) under variable clouds and 67% afternoon thunderstorm risk. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta often elevate official station readings 1–2°C above rural models, explaining the edge for 33°C over 32°C (22.5%) and 31°C (17.5%); recent March spikes to 36°C highlight potential for rapid warming if convective activity clears early. BMKG's early warnings for scattered heavy rain add uncertainty, with updated guidance expected overnight as the April rainy-to-dry transition influences steering patterns and cloud cover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
33°C 48%
32°C 25%
31°C 18%
34°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
25%
33°C
40%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 48%
32°C 25%
31°C 18%
34°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
28°C or below
$231 Vol.
1%
29°C
$270 Vol.
2%
30°C
$15 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
25%
33°C
$15 Vol.
40%
34°C
$27 Vol.
18%
35°C
$5 Vol.
10%
36°C
$10 Vol.
5%
37°C
$261 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Jakarta high of 33°C at 39.5% implied probability for April 16, reflecting the latest BMKG forecast of light rain across DKI Jakarta with maximums of 23–31°C amid 67–98% humidity, tempered by AccuWeather's model projecting 32°C (90°F) under variable clouds and 67% afternoon thunderstorm risk. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta often elevate official station readings 1–2°C above rural models, explaining the edge for 33°C over 32°C (22.5%) and 31°C (17.5%); recent March spikes to 36°C highlight potential for rapid warming if convective activity clears early. BMKG's early warnings for scattered heavy rain add uncertainty, with updated guidance expected overnight as the April rainy-to-dry transition influences steering patterns and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$1,031Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Jakarta high of 33°C at 39.5% implied probability for April 16, reflecting the latest BMKG forecast of light rain across DKI Jakarta with maximums of 23–31°C amid 67–98% humidity, tempered by AccuWeather's model projecting 32°C (90°F) under variable clouds and 67% afternoon thunderstorm risk. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta often elevate official station readings 1–2°C above rural models, explaining the edge for 33°C over 32°C (22.5%) and 31°C (17.5%); recent March spikes to 36°C highlight potential for rapid warming if convective activity clears early. BMKG's early warnings for scattered heavy rain add uncertainty, with updated guidance expected overnight as the April rainy-to-dry transition influences steering patterns and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,031Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Jakarta high of 33°C at 39.5% implied probability for April 16, reflecting the latest BMKG forecast of light rain across DKI Jakarta with maximums of 23–31°C amid 67–98% humidity, tempered by AccuWeather's model projecting 32°C (90°F) under variable clouds and 67% afternoon thunderstorm risk. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta often elevate official station readings 1–2°C above rural models, explaining the edge for 33°C over 32°C (22.5%) and 31°C (17.5%); recent March spikes to 36°C highlight potential for rapid warming if convective activity clears early. BMKG's early warnings for scattered heavy rain add uncertainty, with updated guidance expected overnight as the April rainy-to-dry transition influences steering patterns and cloud cover.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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