Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 29°C high in Shenzhen on April 16 at 39% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (26.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast consensus from Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting peaks of 29–31°C under persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. This positions amid a week-long temperature anomaly exceeding April climatological averages of 26–27°C, driven by high-pressure ridging, abundant solar insolation from mostly clear skies, and urban heat island amplification in the densely developed coastal city. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C through April 15 underscore the trend, though variable cloudiness and potential afternoon showers introduce 1–2°C uncertainty; official hourly observations from stations like Bao'an Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16?
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 18%
27°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
18%
29°C
44%
30°C
33%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 18%
27°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
22°C or below
$384 Vol.
1%
23°C
$780 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$470 Vol.
1%
25°C
$383 Vol.
1%
26°C
$47 Vol.
5%
27°C
$271 Vol.
11%
28°C
$155 Vol.
18%
29°C
$44 Vol.
44%
30°C
$98 Vol.
33%
31°C
$254 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$33 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 29°C high in Shenzhen on April 16 at 39% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (26.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast consensus from Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting peaks of 29–31°C under persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. This positions amid a week-long temperature anomaly exceeding April climatological averages of 26–27°C, driven by high-pressure ridging, abundant solar insolation from mostly clear skies, and urban heat island amplification in the densely developed coastal city. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C through April 15 underscore the trend, though variable cloudiness and potential afternoon showers introduce 1–2°C uncertainty; official hourly observations from stations like Bao'an Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Volume
$2,918Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 29°C high in Shenzhen on April 16 at 39% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (26.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast consensus from Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting peaks of 29–31°C under persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. This positions amid a week-long temperature anomaly exceeding April climatological averages of 26–27°C, driven by high-pressure ridging, abundant solar insolation from mostly clear skies, and urban heat island amplification in the densely developed coastal city. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C through April 15 underscore the trend, though variable cloudiness and potential afternoon showers introduce 1–2°C uncertainty; official hourly observations from stations like Bao'an Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,918Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 29°C high in Shenzhen on April 16 at 39% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (26.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest forecast consensus from Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, projecting peaks of 29–31°C under persistent southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. This positions amid a week-long temperature anomaly exceeding April climatological averages of 26–27°C, driven by high-pressure ridging, abundant solar insolation from mostly clear skies, and urban heat island amplification in the densely developed coastal city. Recent observed highs of 28–32°C through April 15 underscore the trend, though variable cloudiness and potential afternoon showers introduce 1–2°C uncertainty; official hourly observations from stations like Bao'an Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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