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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?

avr. 14

avr. 15

avr. 16

avr. 14

avr. 15

avr. 16

30°C or higher 51%

29°C 45%

28°C 6%

26°C <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$86,706 Vol.

30°C or higher 51%

29°C 45%

28°C 6%

26°C <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$86,706 Vol.

20°C or below

$3,292 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$1,965 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$2,036 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$2,980 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$2,476 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$7,982 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$24,902 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$18,784 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$8,188 Vol.

6%

29°C

$5,473 Vol.

45%

30°C or higher

$8,656 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast, updated early April 15, 2026, projects a daytime maximum temperature around 29°C in urban areas—slightly higher in the New Territories—under moderate southerly winds, sunny intervals, and mainly cloudy skies amid an ongoing heatwave driven by a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft. This aligns with trader consensus implying 54.5% odds for exactly 29°C and 38% for 30°C or higher, reflecting yesterday's regional highs exceeding 30°C at stations like Lau Fau Shan (31.0°C) while urban peaks hovered near 29°C. Seasonal outlooks signal normal to above-normal temperatures, but inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and solar heating leaves room for 30°C if insolation intensifies; monitor HKO hourly observations for intraday shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$86,706
Date de fin
15 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast, updated early April 15, 2026, projects a daytime maximum temperature around 29°C in urban areas—slightly higher in the New Territories—under moderate southerly winds, sunny intervals, and mainly cloudy skies amid an ongoing heatwave driven by a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft. This aligns with trader consensus implying 54.5% odds for exactly 29°C and 38% for 30°C or higher, reflecting yesterday's regional highs exceeding 30°C at stations like Lau Fau Shan (31.0°C) while urban peaks hovered near 29°C. Seasonal outlooks signal normal to above-normal temperatures, but inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and solar heating leaves room for 30°C if insolation intensifies; monitor HKO hourly observations for intraday shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$86,706
Date de fin
15 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30°C or higher » à 51%, suivi de « 29°C » à 46%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 51¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15? » a généré $86.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15? » est « 30°C or higher » à 51%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 29°C » à 46%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.