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Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?

avr. 15

avr. 16

avr. 15

avr. 16

12°C 43%

11°C 19%

13°C 17%

14°C 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

12°C 43%

11°C 19%

13°C 17%

14°C 13%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

10°C or below

$42 Vol.

4%

11°C

$26 Vol.

19%

12°C

$56 Vol.

43%

13°C

$26 Vol.

23%

14°C

$42 Vol.

13%

15°C

$229 Vol.

11%

16°C

$196 Vol.

4%

17°C

$142 Vol.

3%

18°C

$224 Vol.

1%

19°C

$211 Vol.

1%

20°C or higher

$313 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44% implied probability) for Istanbul on April 16, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF models showing persistent overcast skies, northeast winds gusting to 40 km/h, and cool air advection from continental sources limiting solar heating. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm subdued highs around 12–15°C amid similar cloudy conditions, below the April climatological average of 16°C, with no significant warming trend. Key resolution hinges on official MGM station data at Istanbul Airport or Florya; expect final hourly updates through midday April 16 to confirm or shift outcomes amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,507
Date de fin
16 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44% implied probability) for Istanbul on April 16, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF models showing persistent overcast skies, northeast winds gusting to 40 km/h, and cool air advection from continental sources limiting solar heating. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm subdued highs around 12–15°C amid similar cloudy conditions, below the April climatological average of 16°C, with no significant warming trend. Key resolution hinges on official MGM station data at Istanbul Airport or Florya; expect final hourly updates through midday April 16 to confirm or shift outcomes amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,507
Date de fin
16 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 12°C » à 43%, suivi de « 13°C » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16? » est « 12°C » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 13°C » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.