Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Karachi on April 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 15?
26°C or below 44%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 avr. 2026
26°C or below
44%
27°C
2%
28°C
21%
29°C
5%
30°C
24%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
23%
26°C or below 44%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 avr. 2026
26°C or below
$210 Vol.
44%
27°C
$211 Vol.
2%
28°C
$214 Vol.
21%
29°C
$204 Vol.
5%
30°C
$15 Vol.
24%
31°C
$7 Vol.
7%
32°C
$27 Vol.
7%
33°C
$27 Vol.
7%
34°C
$29 Vol.
5%
35°C
$31 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$19 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$875Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$875Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 15, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–33°C (27.5–29.5%) amid latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts for hot, dry conditions and daytime highs of 32–35°C following recent rain events that cooled early April readings to 28–30°C. Differentiating factors include variable sea breeze onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, which could cap peaks at 31°C through enhanced humidity and coastal moderation, versus stronger continental heating under clear skies pushing toward 34°C if winds weaken. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, with model ensembles showing spread due to minimal cloud cover and pre-monsoon warming; PMD observational updates expected throughout the day will sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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