**PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high at the Science Garden station in Quezon City for April 15, amid a high-pressure ridge extending easterly winds that suppress clouds and maximize solar insolation during the Philippines' peak dry season.** Recent observations exceeding guidance—34.4°C on April 13 and Luzon stations topping 36°C on April 14—have elevated trader sentiment for 39°C or higher to 43% implied probability, factoring in Manila's urban heat island amplification and historical April extremes near 39°C. Mid-30s outcomes hover at 28-32%, underscoring model uncertainty near resolution; watch PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and hourly data for shifts in peak heating potential under 0% rain chance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on April 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 15?
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
36°C 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 avr. 2026
29°C or below
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C
11%
36°C
24%
37°C
11%
38°C
24%
39°C or higher
24%
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
36°C 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 avr. 2026
29°C or below
$379 Vol.
5%
30°C
$214 Vol.
2%
31°C
$215 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
11%
36°C
$0 Vol.
24%
37°C
$0 Vol.
11%
38°C
$0 Vol.
24%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high at the Science Garden station in Quezon City for April 15, amid a high-pressure ridge extending easterly winds that suppress clouds and maximize solar insolation during the Philippines' peak dry season.** Recent observations exceeding guidance—34.4°C on April 13 and Luzon stations topping 36°C on April 14—have elevated trader sentiment for 39°C or higher to 43% implied probability, factoring in Manila's urban heat island amplification and historical April extremes near 39°C. Mid-30s outcomes hover at 28-32%, underscoring model uncertainty near resolution; watch PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and hourly data for shifts in peak heating potential under 0% rain chance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$808Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high at the Science Garden station in Quezon City for April 15, amid a high-pressure ridge extending easterly winds that suppress clouds and maximize solar insolation during the Philippines' peak dry season.** Recent observations exceeding guidance—34.4°C on April 13 and Luzon stations topping 36°C on April 14—have elevated trader sentiment for 39°C or higher to 43% implied probability, factoring in Manila's urban heat island amplification and historical April extremes near 39°C. Mid-30s outcomes hover at 28-32%, underscoring model uncertainty near resolution; watch PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and hourly data for shifts in peak heating potential under 0% rain chance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$808Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high at the Science Garden station in Quezon City for April 15, amid a high-pressure ridge extending easterly winds that suppress clouds and maximize solar insolation during the Philippines' peak dry season.** Recent observations exceeding guidance—34.4°C on April 13 and Luzon stations topping 36°C on April 14—have elevated trader sentiment for 39°C or higher to 43% implied probability, factoring in Manila's urban heat island amplification and historical April extremes near 39°C. Mid-30s outcomes hover at 28-32%, underscoring model uncertainty near resolution; watch PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and hourly data for shifts in peak heating potential under 0% rain chance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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