Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models peg Toronto Pearson International Airport's April 16 high near 18-20°C under cloudy skies with 40-60% shower probabilities, driving trader consensus toward 20°C (41.5%) and 21°C (32.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes. Recent overnight model runs refined upward from earlier 16-18°C guidance amid a brief ridge amplifying diurnal heating, following warmer precedents like April 14's potential 21-22°C amid southern Ontario's sluggish spring warmup (monthly averages ~12°C). Key differentiators include shower timing—early rain favors 19°C or below, while delayed or spotty precipitation allows 21°C+ peaks—highlighting 1-3°C uncertainty in frontal moisture dynamics. Environment Canada's afternoon update and real-time observations will likely narrow spreads before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on April 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 16?
19°C 26%
20°C 24%
18°C 14%
21°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
11%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
19°C 26%
20°C 24%
18°C 14%
21°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
15°C or below
$552 Vol.
2%
16°C
$64 Vol.
2%
17°C
$225 Vol.
8%
18°C
$205 Vol.
14%
19°C
$89 Vol.
26%
20°C
$137 Vol.
24%
21°C
$190 Vol.
11%
22°C
$159 Vol.
6%
23°C
$92 Vol.
5%
24°C
$111 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$142 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models peg Toronto Pearson International Airport's April 16 high near 18-20°C under cloudy skies with 40-60% shower probabilities, driving trader consensus toward 20°C (41.5%) and 21°C (32.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes. Recent overnight model runs refined upward from earlier 16-18°C guidance amid a brief ridge amplifying diurnal heating, following warmer precedents like April 14's potential 21-22°C amid southern Ontario's sluggish spring warmup (monthly averages ~12°C). Key differentiators include shower timing—early rain favors 19°C or below, while delayed or spotty precipitation allows 21°C+ peaks—highlighting 1-3°C uncertainty in frontal moisture dynamics. Environment Canada's afternoon update and real-time observations will likely narrow spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,816Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models peg Toronto Pearson International Airport's April 16 high near 18-20°C under cloudy skies with 40-60% shower probabilities, driving trader consensus toward 20°C (41.5%) and 21°C (32.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes. Recent overnight model runs refined upward from earlier 16-18°C guidance amid a brief ridge amplifying diurnal heating, following warmer precedents like April 14's potential 21-22°C amid southern Ontario's sluggish spring warmup (monthly averages ~12°C). Key differentiators include shower timing—early rain favors 19°C or below, while delayed or spotty precipitation allows 21°C+ peaks—highlighting 1-3°C uncertainty in frontal moisture dynamics. Environment Canada's afternoon update and real-time observations will likely narrow spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,816Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models peg Toronto Pearson International Airport's April 16 high near 18-20°C under cloudy skies with 40-60% shower probabilities, driving trader consensus toward 20°C (41.5%) and 21°C (32.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes. Recent overnight model runs refined upward from earlier 16-18°C guidance amid a brief ridge amplifying diurnal heating, following warmer precedents like April 14's potential 21-22°C amid southern Ontario's sluggish spring warmup (monthly averages ~12°C). Key differentiators include shower timing—early rain favors 19°C or below, while delayed or spotty precipitation allows 21°C+ peaks—highlighting 1-3°C uncertainty in frontal moisture dynamics. Environment Canada's afternoon update and real-time observations will likely narrow spreads before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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