Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 37.5% and 26°C at 35%, reflecting AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Madrid's highest temperature in that narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsident warming and clear skies for solar heating. Yesterday's April 15 maximum aligned with trader expectations near 24°C, extending an early-month warm spell that has exceeded historical April averages of 18-19°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads on peak afternoon boundary layer temperatures and potential for thin high clouds, with final AEMET guidance due this evening likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 16?
25°C 42%
26°C 29%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
15%
25°C
42%
26°C
29%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 42%
26°C 29%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
20°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$129 Vol.
1%
22°C
$224 Vol.
3%
23°C
$169 Vol.
2%
24°C
$114 Vol.
15%
25°C
$178 Vol.
42%
26°C
$112 Vol.
29%
27°C
$121 Vol.
12%
28°C
$129 Vol.
4%
29°C
$69 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$164 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 37.5% and 26°C at 35%, reflecting AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Madrid's highest temperature in that narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsident warming and clear skies for solar heating. Yesterday's April 15 maximum aligned with trader expectations near 24°C, extending an early-month warm spell that has exceeded historical April averages of 18-19°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads on peak afternoon boundary layer temperatures and potential for thin high clouds, with final AEMET guidance due this evening likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,662Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 37.5% and 26°C at 35%, reflecting AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Madrid's highest temperature in that narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsident warming and clear skies for solar heating. Yesterday's April 15 maximum aligned with trader expectations near 24°C, extending an early-month warm spell that has exceeded historical April averages of 18-19°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads on peak afternoon boundary layer temperatures and potential for thin high clouds, with final AEMET guidance due this evening likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,662Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 37.5% and 26°C at 35%, reflecting AEMET and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Madrid's highest temperature in that narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsident warming and clear skies for solar heating. Yesterday's April 15 maximum aligned with trader expectations near 24°C, extending an early-month warm spell that has exceeded historical April averages of 18-19°C at Madrid-Barajas Airport. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads on peak afternoon boundary layer temperatures and potential for thin high clouds, with final AEMET guidance due this evening likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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