Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 clustering tightly around 30-32°C, driving the evenly split trader consensus amid persistent cloudy skies and southerly winds moderating peaks. Recent bulletins show April 14 highs reaching 30°C under similar overcast conditions, with a monthly temperature anomaly of +3.3°C above the 22.5°C norm fueling warmer-than-usual baselines influenced by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—thicker layers favoring 30°C, breaks pushing toward 32°C—and potential sea breeze influences; daily CMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these uncertainties as resolution nears based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
30°C 32%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
34°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
29°C or below
21%
30°C
32%
31°C
32%
32°C
32%
33°C
21%
34°C
29%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
34°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
32%
31°C
$0 Vol.
32%
32°C
$2 Vol.
32%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
26%
38°C
$208 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$194 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 clustering tightly around 30-32°C, driving the evenly split trader consensus amid persistent cloudy skies and southerly winds moderating peaks. Recent bulletins show April 14 highs reaching 30°C under similar overcast conditions, with a monthly temperature anomaly of +3.3°C above the 22.5°C norm fueling warmer-than-usual baselines influenced by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—thicker layers favoring 30°C, breaks pushing toward 32°C—and potential sea breeze influences; daily CMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these uncertainties as resolution nears based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$404Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 clustering tightly around 30-32°C, driving the evenly split trader consensus amid persistent cloudy skies and southerly winds moderating peaks. Recent bulletins show April 14 highs reaching 30°C under similar overcast conditions, with a monthly temperature anomaly of +3.3°C above the 22.5°C norm fueling warmer-than-usual baselines influenced by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—thicker layers favoring 30°C, breaks pushing toward 32°C—and potential sea breeze influences; daily CMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these uncertainties as resolution nears based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$404Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 clustering tightly around 30-32°C, driving the evenly split trader consensus amid persistent cloudy skies and southerly winds moderating peaks. Recent bulletins show April 14 highs reaching 30°C under similar overcast conditions, with a monthly temperature anomaly of +3.3°C above the 22.5°C norm fueling warmer-than-usual baselines influenced by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover impacting solar insolation—thicker layers favoring 30°C, breaks pushing toward 32°C—and potential sea breeze influences; daily CMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these uncertainties as resolution nears based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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