Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 44% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely mirroring ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March 2026 and the IMF's April 2026 World Economic Outlook cut to 1.1% from 1.4%, driven by escalating Middle East conflict disrupting energy supplies via Hormuz tensions and elevating oil prices. This positions 0-1.0% at 27% amid downside risks from subdued consumption, investment uncertainty, and persistent competitiveness challenges, despite resilient labor markets and German fiscal support. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, with full-year 2025 at 1.4%, but March inflation ticked to 2.5%, constraining ECB easing. Key catalysts include the April 29 Eurostat Q1 2026 flash GDP and May ECB meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0% 46%
0-1.0% 30.6%
7.0%+ 17.4%
2.0-3.0% 17%
नया
नया
31 जन, 2027
<0%
9%
0-1.0%
31%
1.0-2.0%
43%
2.0-3.0%
17%
3.0-4.0%
17%
4.0-5.0%
17%
5.0-6.0%
5%
6.0-7.0%
4%
7.0%+
17%
1.0-2.0% 46%
0-1.0% 30.6%
7.0%+ 17.4%
2.0-3.0% 17%
नया
नया
31 जन, 2027
<0%
$593 वॉल्यूम
9%
0-1.0%
$469 वॉल्यूम
31%
1.0-2.0%
$1,245 वॉल्यूम
43%
2.0-3.0%
$547 वॉल्यूम
17%
3.0-4.0%
$469 वॉल्यूम
17%
4.0-5.0%
$1,378 वॉल्यूम
17%
5.0-6.0%
$479 वॉल्यूम
5%
6.0-7.0%
$527 वॉल्यूम
4%
7.0%+
$333 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 44% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely mirroring ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March 2026 and the IMF's April 2026 World Economic Outlook cut to 1.1% from 1.4%, driven by escalating Middle East conflict disrupting energy supplies via Hormuz tensions and elevating oil prices. This positions 0-1.0% at 27% amid downside risks from subdued consumption, investment uncertainty, and persistent competitiveness challenges, despite resilient labor markets and German fiscal support. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, with full-year 2025 at 1.4%, but March inflation ticked to 2.5%, constraining ECB easing. Key catalysts include the April 29 Eurostat Q1 2026 flash GDP and May ECB meeting.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,041समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 44% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely mirroring ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March 2026 and the IMF's April 2026 World Economic Outlook cut to 1.1% from 1.4%, driven by escalating Middle East conflict disrupting energy supplies via Hormuz tensions and elevating oil prices. This positions 0-1.0% at 27% amid downside risks from subdued consumption, investment uncertainty, and persistent competitiveness challenges, despite resilient labor markets and German fiscal support. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, with full-year 2025 at 1.4%, but March inflation ticked to 2.5%, constraining ECB easing. Key catalysts include the April 29 Eurostat Q1 2026 flash GDP and May ECB meeting.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$6,041समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 44% implied probability to Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely mirroring ECB staff projections of 0.9% from March 2026 and the IMF's April 2026 World Economic Outlook cut to 1.1% from 1.4%, driven by escalating Middle East conflict disrupting energy supplies via Hormuz tensions and elevating oil prices. This positions 0-1.0% at 27% amid downside risks from subdued consumption, investment uncertainty, and persistent competitiveness challenges, despite resilient labor markets and German fiscal support. Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, with full-year 2025 at 1.4%, but March inflation ticked to 2.5%, constraining ECB easing. Key catalysts include the April 29 Eurostat Q1 2026 flash GDP and May ECB meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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