Polymarket traders price a 99.2% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, with the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%, backed by resilient March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment holding at 4.3%. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects just one rate cut later in 2026 amid elevated inflation—March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year on energy spikes from geopolitical tensions—while April 8 minutes emphasized policy patience despite openness to hikes if oil shocks persist. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects trader confidence in steady monetary policy, though surprise April CPI hotter than 3% or sharper labor weakening could spur 25 basis point adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?
अप्रैल में फेड का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 99.2%
25 आधार अंकों की कटौती <1%
25+ बीपीएस वृद्धि <1%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती <1%
$103,449,436 वॉल्यूम
$103,449,436 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
<1%
25 आधार अंकों की कटौती
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
99%
25+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 99.2%
25 आधार अंकों की कटौती <1%
25+ बीपीएस वृद्धि <1%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती <1%
$103,449,436 वॉल्यूम
$103,449,436 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती
$40,288,490 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 आधार अंकों की कटौती
$20,222,228 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$20,438,819 वॉल्यूम
99%
25+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$22,509,859 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 99.2% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, with the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%, backed by resilient March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment holding at 4.3%. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects just one rate cut later in 2026 amid elevated inflation—March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year on energy spikes from geopolitical tensions—while April 8 minutes emphasized policy patience despite openness to hikes if oil shocks persist. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects trader confidence in steady monetary policy, though surprise April CPI hotter than 3% or sharper labor weakening could spur 25 basis point adjustments.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$103,449,436समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 99.2% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, with the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%, backed by resilient March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment holding at 4.3%. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects just one rate cut later in 2026 amid elevated inflation—March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year on energy spikes from geopolitical tensions—while April 8 minutes emphasized policy patience despite openness to hikes if oil shocks persist. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects trader confidence in steady monetary policy, though surprise April CPI hotter than 3% or sharper labor weakening could spur 25 basis point adjustments.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$103,449,436समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 99.2% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, with the target range steady at 3.50%-3.75%, backed by resilient March nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs and unemployment holding at 4.3%. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot projects just one rate cut later in 2026 amid elevated inflation—March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year on energy spikes from geopolitical tensions—while April 8 minutes emphasized policy patience despite openness to hikes if oil shocks persist. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects trader confidence in steady monetary policy, though surprise April CPI hotter than 3% or sharper labor weakening could spur 25 basis point adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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