Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dominant 90.5% implied probability for no change in the federal funds rate at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, anchored by the Fed's ongoing 3.50%-3.75% target range. Recent March CPI data, released April 10, showed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3%—the hottest since 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 on April 3 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The March FOMC statement held steady, projecting only one 2026 cut conditional on economic progress. This positioning could shift if April CPI (May 12 release) or May jobs data signal disinflation or labor softening, prompting earlier easing expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजून में फेड का फ़ैसला?
जून में फेड का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 91%
25 बीपीएस कटौती 6%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 2.4%
50+ बीपीएस कमी 1.8%
$7,867,943 वॉल्यूम
$7,867,943 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कमी
2%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
6%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
91%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
2%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 91%
25 बीपीएस कटौती 6%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 2.4%
50+ बीपीएस कमी 1.8%
$7,867,943 वॉल्यूम
$7,867,943 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कमी
$2,309,700 वॉल्यूम
2%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
$1,189,541 वॉल्यूम
6%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$1,473,453 वॉल्यूम
91%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
$1,589,442 वॉल्यूम
2%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी
$1,305,806 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dominant 90.5% implied probability for no change in the federal funds rate at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, anchored by the Fed's ongoing 3.50%-3.75% target range. Recent March CPI data, released April 10, showed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3%—the hottest since 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 on April 3 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The March FOMC statement held steady, projecting only one 2026 cut conditional on economic progress. This positioning could shift if April CPI (May 12 release) or May jobs data signal disinflation or labor softening, prompting earlier easing expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,867,943समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dominant 90.5% implied probability for no change in the federal funds rate at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, anchored by the Fed's ongoing 3.50%-3.75% target range. Recent March CPI data, released April 10, showed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3%—the hottest since 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 on April 3 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The March FOMC statement held steady, projecting only one 2026 cut conditional on economic progress. This positioning could shift if April CPI (May 12 release) or May jobs data signal disinflation or labor softening, prompting earlier easing expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$7,867,943समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dominant 90.5% implied probability for no change in the federal funds rate at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, anchored by the Fed's ongoing 3.50%-3.75% target range. Recent March CPI data, released April 10, showed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3%—the hottest since 2024—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 on April 3 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The March FOMC statement held steady, projecting only one 2026 cut conditional on economic progress. This positioning could shift if April CPI (May 12 release) or May jobs data signal disinflation or labor softening, prompting earlier easing expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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