Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, driven by hotter-than-expected March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—and robust nonfarm payroll growth of 178,000 jobs, exceeding forecasts. The Fed maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in March amid sticky price pressures and resilient labor markets, with 10-year Treasury yields hovering near 4.26%. Recent March FOMC minutes signaled openness to hikes if inflation persists, tempering cut expectations and pricing out near-term easing, ahead of the April 28-29 meeting and April CPI data release. Secondary outcomes like Pause-Pause-Cut at 9.0% capture modest late-year cut anticipation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 10%
अन्य 1.3%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती <1%
$813,405 वॉल्यूम
$813,405 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
10%
अन्य
1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
<1%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
<1%
विराम–विराम–विराम 88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 10%
अन्य 1.3%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती <1%
$813,405 वॉल्यूम
$813,405 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
$29,921 वॉल्यूम
88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$15,046 वॉल्यूम
10%
अन्य
$214,561 वॉल्यूम
1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
$421,544 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
$132,334 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, driven by hotter-than-expected March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—and robust nonfarm payroll growth of 178,000 jobs, exceeding forecasts. The Fed maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in March amid sticky price pressures and resilient labor markets, with 10-year Treasury yields hovering near 4.26%. Recent March FOMC minutes signaled openness to hikes if inflation persists, tempering cut expectations and pricing out near-term easing, ahead of the April 28-29 meeting and April CPI data release. Secondary outcomes like Pause-Pause-Cut at 9.0% capture modest late-year cut anticipation.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$813,405समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, driven by hotter-than-expected March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—and robust nonfarm payroll growth of 178,000 jobs, exceeding forecasts. The Fed maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in March amid sticky price pressures and resilient labor markets, with 10-year Treasury yields hovering near 4.26%. Recent March FOMC minutes signaled openness to hikes if inflation persists, tempering cut expectations and pricing out near-term easing, ahead of the April 28-29 meeting and April CPI data release. Secondary outcomes like Pause-Pause-Cut at 9.0% capture modest late-year cut anticipation.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$813,405समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, driven by hotter-than-expected March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—and robust nonfarm payroll growth of 178,000 jobs, exceeding forecasts. The Fed maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in March amid sticky price pressures and resilient labor markets, with 10-year Treasury yields hovering near 4.26%. Recent March FOMC minutes signaled openness to hikes if inflation persists, tempering cut expectations and pricing out near-term easing, ahead of the April 28-29 meeting and April CPI data release. Secondary outcomes like Pause-Pause-Cut at 9.0% capture modest late-year cut anticipation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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