Polymarket traders price an 87.5% implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the March–June FOMC meetings, reflecting the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March Consumer Price Index surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% due to a 10.9% energy spike tied to the Iran conflict—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, exceeding expectations and signaling economic strength. Chair Powell's late-March remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on war-driven inflation risks, aligning trader consensus against near-term cuts. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the May 6–7 FOMC, where sustained inflation above 3% could cement the pause path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 10%
अन्य 3.1%
रोक–कटौती–रोक 1.2%
$903,795 वॉल्यूम
$903,795 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
10%
अन्य
3%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
<1%
विराम–विराम–विराम 88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 10%
अन्य 3.1%
रोक–कटौती–रोक 1.2%
$903,795 वॉल्यूम
$903,795 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
$29,921 वॉल्यूम
88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$15,046 वॉल्यूम
10%
अन्य
$216,554 वॉल्यूम
3%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
$132,519 वॉल्यूम
1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
$509,755 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPolymarket traders price an 87.5% implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the March–June FOMC meetings, reflecting the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March Consumer Price Index surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% due to a 10.9% energy spike tied to the Iran conflict—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, exceeding expectations and signaling economic strength. Chair Powell's late-March remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on war-driven inflation risks, aligning trader consensus against near-term cuts. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the May 6–7 FOMC, where sustained inflation above 3% could cement the pause path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$903,795समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPolymarket traders price an 87.5% implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the March–June FOMC meetings, reflecting the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March Consumer Price Index surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% due to a 10.9% energy spike tied to the Iran conflict—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, exceeding expectations and signaling economic strength. Chair Powell's late-March remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on war-driven inflation risks, aligning trader consensus against near-term cuts. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the May 6–7 FOMC, where sustained inflation above 3% could cement the pause path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$903,795समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price an 87.5% implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the March–June FOMC meetings, reflecting the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March Consumer Price Index surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% due to a 10.9% energy spike tied to the Iran conflict—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, exceeding expectations and signaling economic strength. Chair Powell's late-March remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on war-driven inflation risks, aligning trader consensus against near-term cuts. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12 and the May 6–7 FOMC, where sustained inflation above 3% could cement the pause path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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