Trader consensus favors Mojtaba Khamenei at 67% to remain Iran's Supreme Leader by end-2026, reflecting the regime's swift consolidation after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba on March 8 amid wartime conditions, backed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), enabling hardliner continuity despite his reported injuries and limited public appearances. Recent statements via state media, including vows of retaliation without escalation as of early April, underscore stability over collapse. Reza Pahlavi trails at 9% on lingering protest momentum from 2025-2026 uprisings and exile opposition calls for transition, though suppressed dissent and IRGC dominance limit regime change prospects for other figures like Ghalibaf or Rouhani.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के अंत में ईरान के नेता?
2026 के अंत में ईरान के नेता?
मोज़तबा खामनेई 67.1%
रज़ा पहलवी 9%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ 6.8%
हसन रूहानी 4.4%
$6,524,709 वॉल्यूम
$6,524,709 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
मोज़तबा खामनेई
67%
रज़ा पहलवी
9%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
7%
हसन रूहानी
4%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
2%
हसन खोमेनी
2%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी
1%
अब्बास अराक़ची
1%
अहमद वाहिदी
1%
मोहम्मद खातामी
1%
सईद जल्लीली
1%
मरीयम रजवी
<1%
महमूद अहमदीनेजाद
<1%
मसूद पजेश्कियान
<1%
मोहम्मद मिरबाकिरी
<1%
सादेग लारीजानी
<1%
नविद शोमाली
<1%
अली असगर हेज़ाज़ी
<1%
हसन शरियतमदारी
<1%
मसूद रजवी
<1%
सैयद हुसैन मौसवीयन
<1%
रज़ा पीरज़ादेह
<1%
मुस्तफा हिजरी
<1%
अली मुतहरी
<1%
घोलाम-अली हद्दाद-अदेल
<1%
मुस्तफा पूर्मोहम्मदी
<1%
सादेग महसूली
<1%
मोसेन अराकी
<1%
नासिर होसेनी
<1%
अहमद हुसैनी खोरासानी
<1%
मोज़तबा खामनेई 67.1%
रज़ा पहलवी 9%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ 6.8%
हसन रूहानी 4.4%
$6,524,709 वॉल्यूम
$6,524,709 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
मोज़तबा खामनेई
$1,528,356 वॉल्यूम
67%
रज़ा पहलवी
$154,502 वॉल्यूम
9%
मोहम्मद-बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
$170,579 वॉल्यूम
7%
हसन रूहानी
$280,164 वॉल्यूम
4%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
$369,661 वॉल्यूम
2%
हसन खोमेनी
$731,758 वॉल्यूम
2%
अलिरेज़ा अराफ़ी
$780,111 वॉल्यूम
1%
अब्बास अराक़ची
$104,328 वॉल्यूम
1%
अहमद वाहिदी
$200,128 वॉल्यूम
1%
मोहम्मद खातामी
$246,443 वॉल्यूम
1%
सईद जल्लीली
$47,400 वॉल्यूम
1%
मरीयम रजवी
$256,931 वॉल्यूम
<1%
महमूद अहमदीनेजाद
$51,276 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मसूद पजेश्कियान
$244,621 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मोहम्मद मिरबाकिरी
$275,950 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सादेग लारीजानी
$177,756 वॉल्यूम
<1%
नविद शोमाली
$54,818 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अली असगर हेज़ाज़ी
$76,422 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हसन शरियतमदारी
$150,259 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मसूद रजवी
$23,688 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सैयद हुसैन मौसवीयन
$34,181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रज़ा पीरज़ादेह
$28,363 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मुस्तफा हिजरी
$21,014 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अली मुतहरी
$52,033 वॉल्यूम
<1%
घोलाम-अली हद्दाद-अदेल
$36,759 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मुस्तफा पूर्मोहम्मदी
$68,593 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सादेग महसूली
$48,617 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मोसेन अराकी
$31,699 वॉल्यूम
<1%
नासिर होसेनी
$15,949 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अहमद हुसैनी खोरासानी
$25,487 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Trader consensus favors Mojtaba Khamenei at 67% to remain Iran's Supreme Leader by end-2026, reflecting the regime's swift consolidation after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba on March 8 amid wartime conditions, backed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), enabling hardliner continuity despite his reported injuries and limited public appearances. Recent statements via state media, including vows of retaliation without escalation as of early April, underscore stability over collapse. Reza Pahlavi trails at 9% on lingering protest momentum from 2025-2026 uprisings and exile opposition calls for transition, though suppressed dissent and IRGC dominance limit regime change prospects for other figures like Ghalibaf or Rouhani.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,524,709समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Trader consensus favors Mojtaba Khamenei at 67% to remain Iran's Supreme Leader by end-2026, reflecting the regime's swift consolidation after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba on March 8 amid wartime conditions, backed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), enabling hardliner continuity despite his reported injuries and limited public appearances. Recent statements via state media, including vows of retaliation without escalation as of early April, underscore stability over collapse. Reza Pahlavi trails at 9% on lingering protest momentum from 2025-2026 uprisings and exile opposition calls for transition, though suppressed dissent and IRGC dominance limit regime change prospects for other figures like Ghalibaf or Rouhani.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
वॉल्यूम
$6,524,709समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Mojtaba Khamenei at 67% to remain Iran's Supreme Leader by end-2026, reflecting the regime's swift consolidation after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba on March 8 amid wartime conditions, backed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), enabling hardliner continuity despite his reported injuries and limited public appearances. Recent statements via state media, including vows of retaliation without escalation as of early April, underscore stability over collapse. Reza Pahlavi trails at 9% on lingering protest momentum from 2025-2026 uprisings and exile opposition calls for transition, though suppressed dissent and IRGC dominance limit regime change prospects for other figures like Ghalibaf or Rouhani.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न