A fragile ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, agreed around April 7 ahead of a Trump-imposed deadline, faces mounting strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, now in its third day as of April 15. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon despite supporting the pause on direct Iran strikes, while Iran rejects full reopening of shipping lanes and threatens retaliation. Pakistan-mediated talks in recent days ended without agreement, though a second round is proposed, and US-facilitated Israel-Lebanon negotiations began this week on disarming militants. These developments, amid unresolved nuclear and proxy disputes, signal persistent escalation risks over de-escalation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on near-term resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान x इज़राइल/यूएस संघर्ष समाप्त होता है...?
ईरान x इज़राइल/यूएस संघर्ष समाप्त होता है...?
$41,915,492 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
7 अप्रैल
87%
15 अप्रैल
86%
30 अप्रैल
90%
15 मई
93%
30 जून
96%
31 दिसंबर
97%
$41,915,492 वॉल्यूम
7 अप्रैल
$15,115,435 वॉल्यूम
87%
15 अप्रैल
$8,913,912 वॉल्यूम
86%
30 अप्रैल
$3,818,182 वॉल्यूम
90%
15 मई
$3,403,380 वॉल्यूम
93%
30 जून
$2,821,929 वॉल्यूम
96%
31 दिसंबर
$2,680,177 वॉल्यूम
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.A fragile ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, agreed around April 7 ahead of a Trump-imposed deadline, faces mounting strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, now in its third day as of April 15. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon despite supporting the pause on direct Iran strikes, while Iran rejects full reopening of shipping lanes and threatens retaliation. Pakistan-mediated talks in recent days ended without agreement, though a second round is proposed, and US-facilitated Israel-Lebanon negotiations began this week on disarming militants. These developments, amid unresolved nuclear and proxy disputes, signal persistent escalation risks over de-escalation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,915,492समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.A fragile ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, agreed around April 7 ahead of a Trump-imposed deadline, faces mounting strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, now in its third day as of April 15. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon despite supporting the pause on direct Iran strikes, while Iran rejects full reopening of shipping lanes and threatens retaliation. Pakistan-mediated talks in recent days ended without agreement, though a second round is proposed, and US-facilitated Israel-Lebanon negotiations began this week on disarming militants. These developments, amid unresolved nuclear and proxy disputes, signal persistent escalation risks over de-escalation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
वॉल्यूम
$41,915,492समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A fragile ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran, agreed around April 7 ahead of a Trump-imposed deadline, faces mounting strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, now in its third day as of April 15. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon despite supporting the pause on direct Iran strikes, while Iran rejects full reopening of shipping lanes and threatens retaliation. Pakistan-mediated talks in recent days ended without agreement, though a second round is proposed, and US-facilitated Israel-Lebanon negotiations began this week on disarming militants. These developments, amid unresolved nuclear and proxy disputes, signal persistent escalation risks over de-escalation, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on near-term resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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