The 2026 Iran war, triggered by US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active amid fragile de-escalation efforts. A US-brokered two-week ceasefire, mediated via Pakistan around April 7-8, holds tenuously as Israeli strikes continue against Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iranian proxies, while Strait of Hormuz shipping faces disruptions and the US enforces a blockade on Iranian ports with no breaches reported as of April 14. Recent Islamabad talks ended without agreement on April 12, with Tehran rejecting US nuclear conditions and sanctions relief demands; White House expresses optimism for a deal amid President Trump's expired deadline, but Iranian missile capacity and proxy attacks sustain escalation risks. Traders eye potential second-round negotiations and UN testimony for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान x इज़राइल/यूएस संघर्ष समाप्त होता है...?
ईरान x इज़राइल/यूएस संघर्ष समाप्त होता है...?
$41,916,437 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
7 अप्रैल
88%
15 अप्रैल
86%
30 अप्रैल
90%
15 मई
92%
30 जून
96%
31 दिसंबर
97%
$41,916,437 वॉल्यूम
7 अप्रैल
$15,115,825 वॉल्यूम
88%
15 अप्रैल
$8,914,271 वॉल्यूम
86%
30 अप्रैल
$3,818,182 वॉल्यूम
90%
15 मई
$3,403,706 वॉल्यूम
92%
30 जून
$2,822,074 वॉल्यूम
96%
31 दिसंबर
$2,680,202 वॉल्यूम
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The 2026 Iran war, triggered by US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active amid fragile de-escalation efforts. A US-brokered two-week ceasefire, mediated via Pakistan around April 7-8, holds tenuously as Israeli strikes continue against Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iranian proxies, while Strait of Hormuz shipping faces disruptions and the US enforces a blockade on Iranian ports with no breaches reported as of April 14. Recent Islamabad talks ended without agreement on April 12, with Tehran rejecting US nuclear conditions and sanctions relief demands; White House expresses optimism for a deal amid President Trump's expired deadline, but Iranian missile capacity and proxy attacks sustain escalation risks. Traders eye potential second-round negotiations and UN testimony for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,916,437समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The 2026 Iran war, triggered by US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active amid fragile de-escalation efforts. A US-brokered two-week ceasefire, mediated via Pakistan around April 7-8, holds tenuously as Israeli strikes continue against Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iranian proxies, while Strait of Hormuz shipping faces disruptions and the US enforces a blockade on Iranian ports with no breaches reported as of April 14. Recent Islamabad talks ended without agreement on April 12, with Tehran rejecting US nuclear conditions and sanctions relief demands; White House expresses optimism for a deal amid President Trump's expired deadline, but Iranian missile capacity and proxy attacks sustain escalation risks. Traders eye potential second-round negotiations and UN testimony for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
वॉल्यूम
$41,916,437समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Iran war, triggered by US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28 that assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, remains active amid fragile de-escalation efforts. A US-brokered two-week ceasefire, mediated via Pakistan around April 7-8, holds tenuously as Israeli strikes continue against Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iranian proxies, while Strait of Hormuz shipping faces disruptions and the US enforces a blockade on Iranian ports with no breaches reported as of April 14. Recent Islamabad talks ended without agreement on April 12, with Tehran rejecting US nuclear conditions and sanctions relief demands; White House expresses optimism for a deal amid President Trump's expired deadline, but Iranian missile capacity and proxy attacks sustain escalation risks. Traders eye potential second-round negotiations and UN testimony for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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