Polymarket traders' closely contested sentiment on South Africa 2026 annual headline CPI—led by 4.1-4.4% at 25.5% implied probability and >5.0% at 24.1%—reflects the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March baseline forecast of 3.7% annual average, with Q4/Q4 at 3.9% and a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. February's 3.0% print marked disinflation within the new 3% target band, but April's steep petrol hikes (R1.21/litre) and Middle East oil risks have fueled upside concerns, lifting household expectations to 5.4%. Key differentiators include persistent energy costs versus base effects; March CPI on April 22 and May 28 SARB meeting loom as catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयादक्षिण अफ्रीका वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
दक्षिण अफ्रीका वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
4.7-5.0% 31%
3.5-3.8% 26.2%
4.1-4.4% 25%
>5.0% 23.3%
$21,110 वॉल्यूम
$21,110 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2027
<2.6%
3%
2.6-2.9%
10%
2.9-3.2%
20%
3.2-3.5%
24%
3.5-3.8%
18%
3.8-4.1%
21%
4.1-4.4%
26%
4.4-4.7%
17%
4.7-5.0%
20%
>5.0%
23%
4.7-5.0% 31%
3.5-3.8% 26.2%
4.1-4.4% 25%
>5.0% 23.3%
$21,110 वॉल्यूम
$21,110 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2027
<2.6%
$250 वॉल्यूम
3%
2.6-2.9%
$270 वॉल्यूम
10%
2.9-3.2%
$350 वॉल्यूम
20%
3.2-3.5%
$363 वॉल्यूम
24%
3.5-3.8%
$460 वॉल्यूम
18%
3.8-4.1%
$655 वॉल्यूम
21%
4.1-4.4%
$488 वॉल्यूम
26%
4.4-4.7%
$12,089 वॉल्यूम
17%
4.7-5.0%
$361 वॉल्यूम
20%
>5.0%
$5,825 वॉल्यूम
23%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Polymarket traders' closely contested sentiment on South Africa 2026 annual headline CPI—led by 4.1-4.4% at 25.5% implied probability and >5.0% at 24.1%—reflects the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March baseline forecast of 3.7% annual average, with Q4/Q4 at 3.9% and a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. February's 3.0% print marked disinflation within the new 3% target band, but April's steep petrol hikes (R1.21/litre) and Middle East oil risks have fueled upside concerns, lifting household expectations to 5.4%. Key differentiators include persistent energy costs versus base effects; March CPI on April 22 and May 28 SARB meeting loom as catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,110समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Polymarket traders' closely contested sentiment on South Africa 2026 annual headline CPI—led by 4.1-4.4% at 25.5% implied probability and >5.0% at 24.1%—reflects the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March baseline forecast of 3.7% annual average, with Q4/Q4 at 3.9% and a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. February's 3.0% print marked disinflation within the new 3% target band, but April's steep petrol hikes (R1.21/litre) and Middle East oil risks have fueled upside concerns, lifting household expectations to 5.4%. Key differentiators include persistent energy costs versus base effects; March CPI on April 22 and May 28 SARB meeting loom as catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
वॉल्यूम
$21,110समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' closely contested sentiment on South Africa 2026 annual headline CPI—led by 4.1-4.4% at 25.5% implied probability and >5.0% at 24.1%—reflects the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March baseline forecast of 3.7% annual average, with Q4/Q4 at 3.9% and a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. February's 3.0% print marked disinflation within the new 3% target band, but April's steep petrol hikes (R1.21/litre) and Middle East oil risks have fueled upside concerns, lifting household expectations to 5.4%. Key differentiators include persistent energy costs versus base effects; March CPI on April 22 and May 28 SARB meeting loom as catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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