Trader consensus favors "No" at 75% implied probability that no new country will join the U.S.-led Board of Peace by June 30, driven by stalled momentum following an initial wave of over 25 accessions in January-February, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Indonesia. Recent reports from April 10 highlight severe funding shortfalls, with the board receiving only a fraction of the $17 billion pledged for Gaza reconstruction, undermining incentives for additional diplomatic commitments amid ongoing regional tensions like Iran-related escalations. Indonesia suspended participation in late March over concerns about benefits to Palestinians and a $1 billion permanent membership fee, signaling hesitancy; no new invitations or ratifications have materialized since the market's April 3 launch, with upcoming board meetings unlikely to spur joins given cash constraints and geopolitical uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new country joins the Board of Peace between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new country joins the Board of Peace between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 75% implied probability that no new country will join the U.S.-led Board of Peace by June 30, driven by stalled momentum following an initial wave of over 25 accessions in January-February, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Indonesia. Recent reports from April 10 highlight severe funding shortfalls, with the board receiving only a fraction of the $17 billion pledged for Gaza reconstruction, undermining incentives for additional diplomatic commitments amid ongoing regional tensions like Iran-related escalations. Indonesia suspended participation in late March over concerns about benefits to Palestinians and a $1 billion permanent membership fee, signaling hesitancy; no new invitations or ratifications have materialized since the market's April 3 launch, with upcoming board meetings unlikely to spur joins given cash constraints and geopolitical uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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