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क्या खर्ग द्वीप का तेल टर्मिनल... से टकराएगा?

Market icon

क्या खर्ग द्वीप का तेल टर्मिनल... से टकराएगा?

मार्च 31

मार्च 31

$1,980,973 वॉल्यूम

30 अप्रैल, 2026
Polymarket

$1,980,973 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket
क्या खर्ग द्वीप तेल टर्मिनल 30 अप्रैल तक हमले की चपेट में आएगा? icon

30 अप्रैल

$435,448 वॉल्यूम

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes have repeatedly targeted military installations on Iran's Kharg Island—most recently on April 7, 2026, hitting over 50 bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots—yet deliberately spared the oil terminal, which handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. This strategic restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed nuclear/proxy talks, underpins trader consensus on limited near-term risk of a kinetic strike on energy infrastructure. President Trump has warned of potential escalation to oil facilities or island seizure if Tehran refuses concessions, with satellite imagery confirming intact storage tanks and operational tankers. Stalled diplomacy and regional proxy actions heighten uncertainty ahead of any resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,980,973
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US airstrikes have repeatedly targeted military installations on Iran's Kharg Island—most recently on April 7, 2026, hitting over 50 bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots—yet deliberately spared the oil terminal, which handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. This strategic restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed nuclear/proxy talks, underpins trader consensus on limited near-term risk of a kinetic strike on energy infrastructure. President Trump has warned of potential escalation to oil facilities or island seizure if Tehran refuses concessions, with satellite imagery confirming intact storage tanks and operational tankers. Stalled diplomacy and regional proxy actions heighten uncertainty ahead of any resolution deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,980,973
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या खर्ग द्वीप का तेल टर्मिनल... से टकराएगा?" Polymarket पर 3 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 30 अप्रैल 7% (7¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 मार्च 0% पर है।

आज तक, "क्या खर्ग द्वीप का तेल टर्मिनल... से टकराएगा?" ने कुल $2 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Feb 28, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या खर्ग द्वीप का तेल टर्मिनल... से टकराएगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 3 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "क्या खर्ग द्वीप का तेल टर्मिनल... से टकराएगा?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "30 अप्रैल" केवल 7% पर है, "31 मार्च" 0% पर पास है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"क्या खर्ग द्वीप का तेल टर्मिनल... से टकराएगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।