US airstrikes have repeatedly targeted military installations on Iran's Kharg Island—most recently on April 7, 2026, hitting over 50 bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots—yet deliberately spared the oil terminal, which handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. This strategic restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed nuclear/proxy talks, underpins trader consensus on limited near-term risk of a kinetic strike on energy infrastructure. President Trump has warned of potential escalation to oil facilities or island seizure if Tehran refuses concessions, with satellite imagery confirming intact storage tanks and operational tankers. Stalled diplomacy and regional proxy actions heighten uncertainty ahead of any resolution deadlines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1,980,973 वॉल्यूम

30 अप्रैल
7%
$1,980,973 वॉल्यूम

30 अप्रैल
7%
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US airstrikes have repeatedly targeted military installations on Iran's Kharg Island—most recently on April 7, 2026, hitting over 50 bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots—yet deliberately spared the oil terminal, which handles 90% of Iran's crude exports. This strategic restraint amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed nuclear/proxy talks, underpins trader consensus on limited near-term risk of a kinetic strike on energy infrastructure. President Trump has warned of potential escalation to oil facilities or island seizure if Tehran refuses concessions, with satellite imagery confirming intact storage tanks and operational tankers. Stalled diplomacy and regional proxy actions heighten uncertainty ahead of any resolution deadlines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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