**Model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeasterly winds at 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity near 45–60%.** These conditions favor limited diurnal warming under high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa, aligning with late-summer norms where average September highs reach about 24–25°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk (<10–20%) and stable steering patterns without strong advection of warmer air masses, positioning 23°C as the leading outcome in trader-implied odds. Minor spreads to 22°C or 24°C reflect ensemble uncertainty in peak timing and exact cloud cover. Final station readings from official monitoring will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
23°C 64%
24°C 18%
22°C 16%
21°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
64%
24°C
18%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 64%
24°C 18%
22°C 16%
21°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
$308 Vol.
1%
19°C
$218 Vol.
1%
20°C
$286 Vol.
1%
21°C
$165 Vol.
3%
22°C
$270 Vol.
16%
23°C
$581 Vol.
64%
24°C
$1,022 Vol.
18%
25°C
$198 Vol.
3%
26°C
$264 Vol.
1%
27°C
$148 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$124 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeasterly winds at 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity near 45–60%.** These conditions favor limited diurnal warming under high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa, aligning with late-summer norms where average September highs reach about 24–25°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk (<10–20%) and stable steering patterns without strong advection of warmer air masses, positioning 23°C as the leading outcome in trader-implied odds. Minor spreads to 22°C or 24°C reflect ensemble uncertainty in peak timing and exact cloud cover. Final station readings from official monitoring will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$3,583Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeasterly winds at 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity near 45–60%.** These conditions favor limited diurnal warming under high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa, aligning with late-summer norms where average September highs reach about 24–25°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk (<10–20%) and stable steering patterns without strong advection of warmer air masses, positioning 23°C as the leading outcome in trader-implied odds. Minor spreads to 22°C or 24°C reflect ensemble uncertainty in peak timing and exact cloud cover. Final station readings from official monitoring will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,583Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Istanbul on September 15, driven by northeasterly winds at 15–25 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity near 45–60%.** These conditions favor limited diurnal warming under high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa, aligning with late-summer norms where average September highs reach about 24–25°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation risk (<10–20%) and stable steering patterns without strong advection of warmer air masses, positioning 23°C as the leading outcome in trader-implied odds. Minor spreads to 22°C or 24°C reflect ensemble uncertainty in peak timing and exact cloud cover. Final station readings from official monitoring will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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