Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 14 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 14 aprile?
21°C 100.0%
15°C o meno <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$116,881 Vol.
$116,881 Vol.
14 apr 2026
15°C o meno
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sì
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C o meno <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$116,881 Vol.
$116,881 Vol.
14 apr 2026
15°C o meno
$6,785 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,098 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,397 Vol.
No
18°C
$7,956 Vol.
No
19°C
$30,657 Vol.
No
20°C
$13,195 Vol.
No
21°C
$16,867 Vol.
Sì
22°C
$12,335 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,092 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,183 Vol.
No
25°C o superiore
$3,317 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$116,881Data di fine
14 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$116,881Data di fine
14 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official AEMET observations confirm that the highest temperature in Madrid on April 14 reached 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible volume on cooler scenarios like 15°C or below. This aligns with pre-event numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and AEMET's own forecasts, which projected highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light westerly winds, and above-average insolation for mid-April—when climatological norms hover around 18°C. Observational data from key stations like Barajas and city centers validated these projections precisely. While final data audits are routine, significant revisions are rare absent sensor anomalies, solidifying the market's positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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