Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Poland's IMGW service, place Warsaw's maximum temperature on April 17 at 14–15°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (56.5% implied probability) and 14°C (38.5%). Morning observations show temperatures around 12°C under partly sunny skies with light westerly winds, supporting afternoon peaks near these levels amid a cool continental air mass and moderate solar insolation typical for mid-April. Climatological norms for Warsaw average 13–14°C highs this date, with minimal deviation expected barring unexpected cloud cover or frontal passages. Real-time data from Chopin Airport station will refine outcomes as the day progresses, resolving any model discrepancies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 53%
14°C 39%
16°C 4.5%
17°C or higher 1.6%
$48,320 Vol.
$48,320 Vol.
17 apr 2026
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
38%
15°C
53%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
2%
15°C 53%
14°C 39%
16°C 4.5%
17°C or higher 1.6%
$48,320 Vol.
$48,320 Vol.
17 apr 2026
12°C
$4,525 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$10,005 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,193 Vol.
38%
15°C
$4,379 Vol.
53%
16°C
$5,354 Vol.
5%
17°C or higher
$4,769 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Poland's IMGW service, place Warsaw's maximum temperature on April 17 at 14–15°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (56.5% implied probability) and 14°C (38.5%). Morning observations show temperatures around 12°C under partly sunny skies with light westerly winds, supporting afternoon peaks near these levels amid a cool continental air mass and moderate solar insolation typical for mid-April. Climatological norms for Warsaw average 13–14°C highs this date, with minimal deviation expected barring unexpected cloud cover or frontal passages. Real-time data from Chopin Airport station will refine outcomes as the day progresses, resolving any model discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$48,320Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Poland's IMGW service, place Warsaw's maximum temperature on April 17 at 14–15°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (56.5% implied probability) and 14°C (38.5%). Morning observations show temperatures around 12°C under partly sunny skies with light westerly winds, supporting afternoon peaks near these levels amid a cool continental air mass and moderate solar insolation typical for mid-April. Climatological norms for Warsaw average 13–14°C highs this date, with minimal deviation expected barring unexpected cloud cover or frontal passages. Real-time data from Chopin Airport station will refine outcomes as the day progresses, resolving any model discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,320Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, corroborated by Poland's IMGW service, place Warsaw's maximum temperature on April 17 at 14–15°C, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (56.5% implied probability) and 14°C (38.5%). Morning observations show temperatures around 12°C under partly sunny skies with light westerly winds, supporting afternoon peaks near these levels amid a cool continental air mass and moderate solar insolation typical for mid-April. Climatological norms for Warsaw average 13–14°C highs this date, with minimal deviation expected barring unexpected cloud cover or frontal passages. Real-time data from Chopin Airport station will refine outcomes as the day progresses, resolving any model discrepancies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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