Trader consensus favors 300,000-500,000 deportations in 2026, reflecting sustained ICE enforcement pace from fiscal year 2025's 442,637 total removals and early 2026 surges, including a fivefold increase in interior deportations following arrests as detailed in April analyses. Arrests averaged over 1,100 daily this year amid expanded detention to around 60,000 beds and record removal flights, but logistical barriers—immigration court backlogs exceeding 3 million cases, repatriation coordination with foreign governments, and limited detention capacity—curb higher volumes despite executive orders and 12,000 new hires. Recent Axios data release on April 15 and hardliner pushes for workplace raids signal potential ramp-up, though independent trackers note February-March slowdowns post-enforcement incidents, keeping probabilities clustered below 1 million.