Trader consensus heavily favors Jamie Davis Jr. at 83% implied probability to win Louisiana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by his status as the party establishment choice—backed by the Louisiana Democratic State Central Committee and DSCC endorsement—with prior service as a parish police juror, small-business ownership, and the only candidate reporting fundraising ($16,865 raised). Challengers Nick Albares (former gubernatorial aide) and Gary Crockett (Navy veteran and consultant) lag with zero reported funds, while Tracie Burke and Jabarie Walker withdrew or were disqualified, capping their shares below 3%. Recent announcement of an April 21 debate at Southern University offers a platform for upsets in this closed primary, but low turnout and Davis's incumbency-like advantages in a sparsely contested field sustain his dominance amid voter registration deadlines passed April 15.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJamie Davis Jr. 83%
Nick Albares 14%
Gary Crockett 2.9%
Jabarie Walker 2.4%
$39,657 Vol.
$39,657 Vol.
Jamie Davis Jr.
83%
Nick Albares
14%
Gary Crockett
3%
Jabarie Walker
2%
Tracie Burke
2%
Jamie Davis Jr. 83%
Nick Albares 14%
Gary Crockett 2.9%
Jabarie Walker 2.4%
$39,657 Vol.
$39,657 Vol.
Jamie Davis Jr.
83%
Nick Albares
14%
Gary Crockett
3%
Jabarie Walker
2%
Tracie Burke
2%
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Jamie Davis Jr. at 83% implied probability to win Louisiana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by his status as the party establishment choice—backed by the Louisiana Democratic State Central Committee and DSCC endorsement—with prior service as a parish police juror, small-business ownership, and the only candidate reporting fundraising ($16,865 raised). Challengers Nick Albares (former gubernatorial aide) and Gary Crockett (Navy veteran and consultant) lag with zero reported funds, while Tracie Burke and Jabarie Walker withdrew or were disqualified, capping their shares below 3%. Recent announcement of an April 21 debate at Southern University offers a platform for upsets in this closed primary, but low turnout and Davis's incumbency-like advantages in a sparsely contested field sustain his dominance amid voter registration deadlines passed April 15.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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