Recent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to mild overnight conditions in London on September 2, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between 14–18 °C under a southerly to south-westerly flow and extensive cloud cover. Persistent Atlantic air and limited radiative cooling prevent sharp drops, while the absence of clear skies or northerly advection keeps the lower tail of the distribution (10 °C or below) at low implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 14 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes, reflecting remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening shower activity before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 2 settembre?
20°C o superiore 50%
10°C o inferiore 35%
14°C 26%
17°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
35%
11°C
11%
12°C
11%
13°C
17%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
20%
17°C
26%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C o superiore
50%
20°C o superiore 50%
10°C o inferiore 35%
14°C 26%
17°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
35%
11°C
$0 Vol.
11%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
17%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to mild overnight conditions in London on September 2, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between 14–18 °C under a southerly to south-westerly flow and extensive cloud cover. Persistent Atlantic air and limited radiative cooling prevent sharp drops, while the absence of clear skies or northerly advection keeps the lower tail of the distribution (10 °C or below) at low implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 14 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes, reflecting remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening shower activity before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to mild overnight conditions in London on September 2, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between 14–18 °C under a southerly to south-westerly flow and extensive cloud cover. Persistent Atlantic air and limited radiative cooling prevent sharp drops, while the absence of clear skies or northerly advection keeps the lower tail of the distribution (10 °C or below) at low implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 14 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes, reflecting remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening shower activity before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to mild overnight conditions in London on September 2, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between 14–18 °C under a southerly to south-westerly flow and extensive cloud cover. Persistent Atlantic air and limited radiative cooling prevent sharp drops, while the absence of clear skies or northerly advection keeps the lower tail of the distribution (10 °C or below) at low implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 14 °C, 15 °C, and 17 °C outcomes, reflecting remaining uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-evening shower activity before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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