Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely settle between 10–13°C, driven by post-frontal clearing after daytime showers, light to moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model runs show minor divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 9–10°C, providing context for the elevated probabilities on 10–12°C outcomes amid current above-normal daytime warmth. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations through the night will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 10 settembre?
12°C 44%
14°C 38.0%
9°C o inferiore 34%
10°C 25%
9°C o inferiore
34%
10°C
25%
11°C
23%
12°C
44%
13°C
44%
14°C
38%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
12°C 44%
14°C 38.0%
9°C o inferiore 34%
10°C 25%
9°C o inferiore
34%
10°C
25%
11°C
23%
12°C
44%
13°C
44%
14°C
38%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely settle between 10–13°C, driven by post-frontal clearing after daytime showers, light to moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model runs show minor divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 9–10°C, providing context for the elevated probabilities on 10–12°C outcomes amid current above-normal daytime warmth. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations through the night will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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