Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint screenings for April 13-19 at 76.5%, driven by the first two days' totals of 2.61 million on April 13 and 2.05 million on April 14—summing to 4.65 million—and patterns mirroring the prior week's 17.65 million volume from April 6-12. Post-Easter travel has normalized after peaks around April 5-6, with daily throughput stabilizing at 2.2-2.8 million amid persistent government shutdown strains on TSA staffing, which fueled hours-long lines and over 5,600 flight disruptions in early April. Traders project remaining weekdays and weekend aligning with recent averages, though further delays could suppress higher buckets like 17.5-18 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato17-17.5m 73%
16.5-17m 24.7%
17.5-18m 10%
18-18.5m 2.3%
<16.5m
8%
16.5-17m
13%
17-17.5m
77%
17.5-18m
20%
18-18.5m
2%
>18.5m
1%
17-17.5m 73%
16.5-17m 24.7%
17.5-18m 10%
18-18.5m 2.3%
<16.5m
8%
16.5-17m
13%
17-17.5m
77%
17.5-18m
20%
18-18.5m
2%
>18.5m
1%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint screenings for April 13-19 at 76.5%, driven by the first two days' totals of 2.61 million on April 13 and 2.05 million on April 14—summing to 4.65 million—and patterns mirroring the prior week's 17.65 million volume from April 6-12. Post-Easter travel has normalized after peaks around April 5-6, with daily throughput stabilizing at 2.2-2.8 million amid persistent government shutdown strains on TSA staffing, which fueled hours-long lines and over 5,600 flight disruptions in early April. Traders project remaining weekdays and weekend aligning with recent averages, though further delays could suppress higher buckets like 17.5-18 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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