With over 80% of votes counted in Peru's April 12 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads comfortably for first place, leaving a razor-thin contest for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga that drives trader consensus on third-place odds. Sánchez recently overtook López Aliaga by a slim margin of around 28,000 votes amid a protracted ballot count plagued by delays and fraud allegations from López Aliaga, who demands annulment. This volatility, coupled with remaining rural and overseas ballots, positions López Aliaga as the 63% trader favorite for third while giving Sánchez a 35% implied probability of slipping, as markets await full ONPE certification for runoff qualification on June 7.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrimo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 3° posto
Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 3° posto
Rafael López Aliaga 62.9%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.9%
Jorge Nieto 1.3%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$579,090 Vol.
$579,090 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
63%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
35%
Jorge Nieto
1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 62.9%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.9%
Jorge Nieto 1.3%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$579,090 Vol.
$579,090 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$125,100 Vol.
63%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$101,677 Vol.
35%
Jorge Nieto
$116,517 Vol.
1%
Ricardo Belmont
$51,553 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$10,351 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$8,597 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$8,988 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$7,924 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$8,577 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$9,843 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$14,605 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$8,739 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$11,778 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$8,981 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$8,550 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$8,178 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$11,161 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$9,308 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,215 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$8,555 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$9,949 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$12,081 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 80% of votes counted in Peru's April 12 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads comfortably for first place, leaving a razor-thin contest for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga that drives trader consensus on third-place odds. Sánchez recently overtook López Aliaga by a slim margin of around 28,000 votes amid a protracted ballot count plagued by delays and fraud allegations from López Aliaga, who demands annulment. This volatility, coupled with remaining rural and overseas ballots, positions López Aliaga as the 63% trader favorite for third while giving Sánchez a 35% implied probability of slipping, as markets await full ONPE certification for runoff qualification on June 7.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$579,090Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 80% of votes counted in Peru's April 12 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads comfortably for first place, leaving a razor-thin contest for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga that drives trader consensus on third-place odds. Sánchez recently overtook López Aliaga by a slim margin of around 28,000 votes amid a protracted ballot count plagued by delays and fraud allegations from López Aliaga, who demands annulment. This volatility, coupled with remaining rural and overseas ballots, positions López Aliaga as the 63% trader favorite for third while giving Sánchez a 35% implied probability of slipping, as markets await full ONPE certification for runoff qualification on June 7.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$579,090Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 80% of votes counted in Peru's April 12 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads comfortably for first place, leaving a razor-thin contest for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga that drives trader consensus on third-place odds. Sánchez recently overtook López Aliaga by a slim margin of around 28,000 votes amid a protracted ballot count plagued by delays and fraud allegations from López Aliaga, who demands annulment. This volatility, coupled with remaining rural and overseas ballots, positions López Aliaga as the 63% trader favorite for third while giving Sánchez a 35% implied probability of slipping, as markets await full ONPE certification for runoff qualification on June 7.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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