Amid ongoing vote counting reaching 91% as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round lead at 17.04%, but a tight contest for second—Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.07%, Rafael López Aliaga at 11.85%, Jorge Nieto at 11.06%—positions "Other" pairings as trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Early partial tallies briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, sustaining 40% odds on a Fujimori-López Aliaga matchup despite Sánchez Palomino's current edge. Logistical failures delayed voting for over 50,000, fueling fraud claims and protests led by López Aliaga demanding invalidation, though EU observers reported no irregularities. Final rural votes and legal challenges loom as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAltro 57.9%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 40%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga e Nieto <1%
$964,113 Vol.
$964,113 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Altro
58%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
40%
López Aliaga & López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga e Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga e Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Fujimori & Nieto
<1%
Altro 57.9%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 40%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga e Nieto <1%
$964,113 Vol.
$964,113 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Altro
$237,860 Vol.
58%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$316,062 Vol.
40%
López Aliaga & López Chau
$24,017 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga e Nieto
$32,793 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
$67,800 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
$16,487 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$24,242 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga e Sánchez Palomino
$36,670 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
$9,953 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori & Nieto
$198,248 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Amid ongoing vote counting reaching 91% as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round lead at 17.04%, but a tight contest for second—Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.07%, Rafael López Aliaga at 11.85%, Jorge Nieto at 11.06%—positions "Other" pairings as trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Early partial tallies briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, sustaining 40% odds on a Fujimori-López Aliaga matchup despite Sánchez Palomino's current edge. Logistical failures delayed voting for over 50,000, fueling fraud claims and protests led by López Aliaga demanding invalidation, though EU observers reported no irregularities. Final rural votes and legal challenges loom as key catalysts.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$964,113Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Amid ongoing vote counting reaching 91% as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round lead at 17.04%, but a tight contest for second—Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.07%, Rafael López Aliaga at 11.85%, Jorge Nieto at 11.06%—positions "Other" pairings as trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Early partial tallies briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, sustaining 40% odds on a Fujimori-López Aliaga matchup despite Sánchez Palomino's current edge. Logistical failures delayed voting for over 50,000, fueling fraud claims and protests led by López Aliaga demanding invalidation, though EU observers reported no irregularities. Final rural votes and legal challenges loom as key catalysts.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$964,113Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amid ongoing vote counting reaching 91% as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round lead at 17.04%, but a tight contest for second—Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.07%, Rafael López Aliaga at 11.85%, Jorge Nieto at 11.06%—positions "Other" pairings as trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Early partial tallies briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, sustaining 40% odds on a Fujimori-López Aliaga matchup despite Sánchez Palomino's current edge. Logistical failures delayed voting for over 50,000, fueling fraud claims and protests led by López Aliaga demanding invalidation, though EU observers reported no irregularities. Final rural votes and legal challenges loom as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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