President Donald Trump's escalating Truth Social posts amid the US-Iran conflict have sharpened trader consensus, with his April 13 insult of Pope Leo XIV as "weak on crime" and poor on foreign policy—coupled with an AI-generated image backlash—sparking a feud that drew rare criticism from Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, whom Trump swiftly attacked as changed and shocking. Earlier attacks on conservatives like Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly over war coverage underscore his pattern of targeting policy critics. With 14 days to resolution, upcoming addresses, Strait of Hormuz tensions, or diplomatic rebukes could prompt further public barbs at foreign leaders, media, or opponents, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing likely repeats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$73,179 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Barack Obama
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
50%
Keir Starmer
43%
Papa Leone XIV
39%
Tucker Carlson
31%
Megyn Kelly
29%
Alex Jones
14%
Pam Bondi
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
Elon Musk
4%
Viktor Orbán
4%
Vladimir Putin
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Xi Jinping
2%
Melania Trump
2%
Candace Owens
43%
$73,179 Vol.
Barack Obama
$1,683 Vol.
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$197 Vol.
50%
Keir Starmer
$305 Vol.
43%
Papa Leone XIV
$2,304 Vol.
39%
Tucker Carlson
$766 Vol.
31%
Megyn Kelly
$0 Vol.
29%
Alex Jones
$1,364 Vol.
14%
Pam Bondi
$451 Vol.
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$6,047 Vol.
5%
Elon Musk
$842 Vol.
4%
Viktor Orbán
$3,355 Vol.
4%
Vladimir Putin
$3,056 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$6,307 Vol.
3%
Xi Jinping
$11,035 Vol.
2%
Melania Trump
$8,002 Vol.
2%
Candace Owens
$47 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's escalating Truth Social posts amid the US-Iran conflict have sharpened trader consensus, with his April 13 insult of Pope Leo XIV as "weak on crime" and poor on foreign policy—coupled with an AI-generated image backlash—sparking a feud that drew rare criticism from Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, whom Trump swiftly attacked as changed and shocking. Earlier attacks on conservatives like Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly over war coverage underscore his pattern of targeting policy critics. With 14 days to resolution, upcoming addresses, Strait of Hormuz tensions, or diplomatic rebukes could prompt further public barbs at foreign leaders, media, or opponents, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing likely repeats.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$73,179Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's escalating Truth Social posts amid the US-Iran conflict have sharpened trader consensus, with his April 13 insult of Pope Leo XIV as "weak on crime" and poor on foreign policy—coupled with an AI-generated image backlash—sparking a feud that drew rare criticism from Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, whom Trump swiftly attacked as changed and shocking. Earlier attacks on conservatives like Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly over war coverage underscore his pattern of targeting policy critics. With 14 days to resolution, upcoming addresses, Strait of Hormuz tensions, or diplomatic rebukes could prompt further public barbs at foreign leaders, media, or opponents, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing likely repeats.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$73,179Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's escalating Truth Social posts amid the US-Iran conflict have sharpened trader consensus, with his April 13 insult of Pope Leo XIV as "weak on crime" and poor on foreign policy—coupled with an AI-generated image backlash—sparking a feud that drew rare criticism from Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, whom Trump swiftly attacked as changed and shocking. Earlier attacks on conservatives like Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly over war coverage underscore his pattern of targeting policy critics. With 14 days to resolution, upcoming addresses, Strait of Hormuz tensions, or diplomatic rebukes could prompt further public barbs at foreign leaders, media, or opponents, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing likely repeats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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