Recent developments center on Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement and related incidents, which the Republican-led House tabled on a 232-147 vote with limited Democratic support. Trader consensus at 69.5% for impeachment before the term ends reflects expectations that Democrats could secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority in subsequent sessions. Historical patterns show opposition parties frequently pursue oversight actions, including impeachment resolutions, when controlling the chamber, though Senate conviction remains outside this market’s scope. Current Republican majorities block near-term action, while procedural barriers and party divisions limit standalone efforts. Scheduled midterms and any shifts in House control represent the primary catalysts that could move probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
70% probabilità
$103,741 Vol.
$103,741 Vol.
20 gen 2029
Guadagna il 3.25%
Sì
70% probabilità
$103,741 Vol.
$103,741 Vol.
20 gen 2029
Guadagna il 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments center on Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement and related incidents, which the Republican-led House tabled on a 232-147 vote with limited Democratic support. Trader consensus at 69.5% for impeachment before the term ends reflects expectations that Democrats could secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority in subsequent sessions. Historical patterns show opposition parties frequently pursue oversight actions, including impeachment resolutions, when controlling the chamber, though Senate conviction remains outside this market’s scope. Current Republican majorities block near-term action, while procedural barriers and party divisions limit standalone efforts. Scheduled midterms and any shifts in House control represent the primary catalysts that could move probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$103,741Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments center on Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement and related incidents, which the Republican-led House tabled on a 232-147 vote with limited Democratic support. Trader consensus at 69.5% for impeachment before the term ends reflects expectations that Democrats could secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority in subsequent sessions. Historical patterns show opposition parties frequently pursue oversight actions, including impeachment resolutions, when controlling the chamber, though Senate conviction remains outside this market’s scope. Current Republican majorities block near-term action, while procedural barriers and party divisions limit standalone efforts. Scheduled midterms and any shifts in House control represent the primary catalysts that could move probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$0Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...Recent developments center on Democratic efforts to advance impeachment articles, including Rep. Al Green’s September 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement and related incidents, which the Republican-led House tabled on a 232-147 vote with limited Democratic support. Trader consensus at 69.5% for impeachment before the term ends reflects expectations that Democrats could secure a House majority in the November 2026 midterms, enabling passage of articles by simple majority in subsequent sessions. Historical patterns show opposition parties frequently pursue oversight actions, including impeachment resolutions, when controlling the chamber, though Senate conviction remains outside this market’s scope. Current Republican majorities block near-term action, while procedural barriers and party divisions limit standalone efforts. Scheduled midterms and any shifts in House control represent the primary catalysts that could move probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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