Canada's federal government has implemented tighter immigration targets for 2026, including sharp reductions in new student and temporary worker arrivals alongside stabilized permanent resident admissions at 380,000. These measures seek to lower the share of non-permanent residents below 5% of the total population by year-end, producing net outflows that offset inflows from permanent immigration. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer indicate flat overall population growth for 2026 following the first recorded annual decline in early data releases. Natural increase remains low amid aging demographics and subdued birth rates, creating a narrow balance where modest revisions in permit extensions or outflows could determine whether year-end figures register higher or lower than 2025 levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日増加
増加
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government has implemented tighter immigration targets for 2026, including sharp reductions in new student and temporary worker arrivals alongside stabilized permanent resident admissions at 380,000. These measures seek to lower the share of non-permanent residents below 5% of the total population by year-end, producing net outflows that offset inflows from permanent immigration. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer indicate flat overall population growth for 2026 following the first recorded annual decline in early data releases. Natural increase remains low amid aging demographics and subdued birth rates, creating a narrow balance where modest revisions in permit extensions or outflows could determine whether year-end figures register higher or lower than 2025 levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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