Canada's population trajectory this year reflects the federal government's 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps permanent resident admissions at 380,000 while sharply cutting temporary resident inflows to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. Recent Statistics Canada data confirm the first annual decline on record, with quarterly drops driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding gains from permanent immigration and natural increase. Projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer indicate flat or marginally negative growth for 2026 as outflows continue to offset inflows, creating a narrow balance reflected in the closely contested market odds. Any shift in temporary resident permit extensions, labor market pressures prompting policy adjustments, or revisions to migration estimates could alter the final annual change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日増加
新規
新規
2027/04/30
増加
新規
新規
2027/04/30
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's population trajectory this year reflects the federal government's 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps permanent resident admissions at 380,000 while sharply cutting temporary resident inflows to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. Recent Statistics Canada data confirm the first annual decline on record, with quarterly drops driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding gains from permanent immigration and natural increase. Projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer indicate flat or marginally negative growth for 2026 as outflows continue to offset inflows, creating a narrow balance reflected in the closely contested market odds. Any shift in temporary resident permit extensions, labor market pressures prompting policy adjustments, or revisions to migration estimates could alter the final annual change.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
音量
$1,538終了日
2027/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's population trajectory this year reflects the federal government's 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps permanent resident admissions at 380,000 while sharply cutting temporary resident inflows to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. Recent Statistics Canada data confirm the first annual decline on record, with quarterly drops driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding gains from permanent immigration and natural increase. Projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer indicate flat or marginally negative growth for 2026 as outflows continue to offset inflows, creating a narrow balance reflected in the closely contested market odds. Any shift in temporary resident permit extensions, labor market pressures prompting policy adjustments, or revisions to migration estimates could alter the final annual change.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,538終了日
2027/04/30マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's population trajectory this year reflects the federal government's 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps permanent resident admissions at 380,000 while sharply cutting temporary resident inflows to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. Recent Statistics Canada data confirm the first annual decline on record, with quarterly drops driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding gains from permanent immigration and natural increase. Projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer indicate flat or marginally negative growth for 2026 as outflows continue to offset inflows, creating a narrow balance reflected in the closely contested market odds. Any shift in temporary resident permit extensions, labor market pressures prompting policy adjustments, or revisions to migration estimates could alter the final annual change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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