Recent polling averages place Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff at 51-52% against Republican nominee Mike Collins at 43%, with the balance split among minor candidates and undecided voters. These figures, drawn from surveys conducted in July 2026, position Ossoff above the 50% threshold required for an outright general-election victory on November 3. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority. Collins secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 16 primary runoff, consolidating GOP support behind a single challenger. With Ossoff running unopposed in the Democratic primary and maintaining a consistent multi-point lead in head-to-head matchups, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a fragmented outcome that would force a second round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
92% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
92% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.Recent polling averages place Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff at 51-52% against Republican nominee Mike Collins at 43%, with the balance split among minor candidates and undecided voters. These figures, drawn from surveys conducted in July 2026, position Ossoff above the 50% threshold required for an outright general-election victory on November 3. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority. Collins secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 16 primary runoff, consolidating GOP support behind a single challenger. With Ossoff running unopposed in the Democratic primary and maintaining a consistent multi-point lead in head-to-head matchups, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a fragmented outcome that would force a second round.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
音量
$169終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.Recent polling averages place Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff at 51-52% against Republican nominee Mike Collins at 43%, with the balance split among minor candidates and undecided voters. These figures, drawn from surveys conducted in July 2026, position Ossoff above the 50% threshold required for an outright general-election victory on November 3. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority. Collins secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 16 primary runoff, consolidating GOP support behind a single challenger. With Ossoff running unopposed in the Democratic primary and maintaining a consistent multi-point lead in head-to-head matchups, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a fragmented outcome that would force a second round.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
音量
$169終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages place Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff at 51-52% against Republican nominee Mike Collins at 43%, with the balance split among minor candidates and undecided voters. These figures, drawn from surveys conducted in July 2026, position Ossoff above the 50% threshold required for an outright general-election victory on November 3. Georgia law triggers a December 1 runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority. Collins secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 16 primary runoff, consolidating GOP support behind a single challenger. With Ossoff running unopposed in the Democratic primary and maintaining a consistent multi-point lead in head-to-head matchups, trader consensus reflects the low probability of a fragmented outcome that would force a second round.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問