Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の重慶の最高気温は？
9月15日の重慶の最高気温は？
23°C 29%
22℃ 23%
24℃ 22%
25℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
20℃以下
10%
21°C
12%
22℃
23%
23°C
29%
24℃
22%
25℃
12%
26℃
5%
27℃
3%
28℃
4%
29℃
1%
30℃以上
1%
23°C 29%
22℃ 23%
24℃ 22%
25℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
20℃以下
$10 Vol.
10%
21°C
$295 Vol.
12%
22℃
$1,078 Vol.
23%
23°C
$199 Vol.
29%
24℃
$63 Vol.
22%
25℃
$509 Vol.
12%
26℃
$20 Vol.
5%
27℃
$26 Vol.
3%
28℃
$1 Vol.
4%
29℃
$1 Vol.
1%
30℃以上
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
音量
$2,204終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,204終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and periods of light to moderate rain over Chongqing on September 15, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on highs of 21-24°C, well below the long-term September average of roughly 26-28°C, due to a regional weather pattern favoring overcast, unsettled conditions rather than clear skies. This scientific context explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 22-24°C outcomes, with lower odds on warmer thresholds that would require unexpected clearing or model shifts before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問