Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly warm advection. High dew points near 26°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks locally but leave little room for the mercury to stay below 32°C. This consensus aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the North China Plain under comparable steering patterns. Market-implied odds near 97% for 32°C or higher reflect the tight clustering of model solutions and ongoing surface readings; only an unanticipated rapid frontal passage or unusually heavy, widespread rain could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 98%
31°C 2%
30°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$11,329 Vol.
$11,329 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
98%
32°C or higher 98%
31°C 2%
30°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$11,329 Vol.
$11,329 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly warm advection. High dew points near 26°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks locally but leave little room for the mercury to stay below 32°C. This consensus aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the North China Plain under comparable steering patterns. Market-implied odds near 97% for 32°C or higher reflect the tight clustering of model solutions and ongoing surface readings; only an unanticipated rapid frontal passage or unusually heavy, widespread rain could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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