Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
22°C以上 55%
12°C以下 53%
14°C 40%
19°C 40%
12°C以下
53%
13℃
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
29%
16℃
33%
17℃
22%
18℃
21%
19°C
40%
20°C
14%
21℃
8%
22°C以上
55%
22°C以上 55%
12°C以下 53%
14°C 40%
19°C 40%
12°C以下
53%
13℃
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
29%
16℃
33%
17℃
22%
18℃
21%
19°C
40%
20°C
14%
21℃
8%
22°C以上
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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