Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月25日のロンドンの最低気温は？
6月25日のロンドンの最低気温は？
20°C 100.0%
15°C以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17℃ <1%
$13,426 Vol.
$13,426 Vol.
2026/06/25
15°C以下
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
はい
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃以上
いいえ
20°C 100.0%
15°C以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17℃ <1%
$13,426 Vol.
$13,426 Vol.
2026/06/25
15°C以下
$223 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$581 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$596 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$1,058 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$1,584 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$4,615 Vol.
はい
21°C
$1,930 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$634 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$1,121 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$698 Vol.
いいえ
25℃以上
$385 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$13,426終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,426終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問