Strong model consensus from National Weather Service and other forecasting agencies supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum of 78-79°F in Miami on August 7, reflecting typical August nocturnal conditions in South Florida where high humidity and light winds limit radiational cooling. Recent extended forecasts consistently project overnight lows in the upper 70s, aligning with climatological baselines of 75-80°F for the period and absent any significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric setup. Traders assign minimal probability to lower brackets due to the narrow historical range and stable steering patterns. A late-day thunderstorm cluster or unexpected increase in cloud cover could modestly suppress the minimum, though revisions would need to overcome entrenched model agreement to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月7日のマイアミの最低気温は？
78〜79°F 97%
74〜75°F 2.3%
76～77°F 2%
72～73°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
69°F以下
<1%
70〜71°F
1%
72～73°F
1%
74〜75°F
2%
76～77°F
2%
78〜79°F
97%
80〜81°F
<1%
82～83°F
<1%
84～85°F
<1%
86～87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
78〜79°F 97%
74〜75°F 2.3%
76～77°F 2%
72～73°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
69°F以下
$493 Vol.
<1%
70〜71°F
$867 Vol.
1%
72～73°F
$278 Vol.
1%
74〜75°F
$243 Vol.
2%
76～77°F
$605 Vol.
2%
78〜79°F
$1,195 Vol.
97%
80〜81°F
$981 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$263 Vol.
<1%
84～85°F
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
86～87°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
88°F以上
$959 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from National Weather Service and other forecasting agencies supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum of 78-79°F in Miami on August 7, reflecting typical August nocturnal conditions in South Florida where high humidity and light winds limit radiational cooling. Recent extended forecasts consistently project overnight lows in the upper 70s, aligning with climatological baselines of 75-80°F for the period and absent any significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric setup. Traders assign minimal probability to lower brackets due to the narrow historical range and stable steering patterns. A late-day thunderstorm cluster or unexpected increase in cloud cover could modestly suppress the minimum, though revisions would need to overcome entrenched model agreement to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$7,043終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from National Weather Service and other forecasting agencies supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum of 78-79°F in Miami on August 7, reflecting typical August nocturnal conditions in South Florida where high humidity and light winds limit radiational cooling. Recent extended forecasts consistently project overnight lows in the upper 70s, aligning with climatological baselines of 75-80°F for the period and absent any significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric setup. Traders assign minimal probability to lower brackets due to the narrow historical range and stable steering patterns. A late-day thunderstorm cluster or unexpected increase in cloud cover could modestly suppress the minimum, though revisions would need to overcome entrenched model agreement to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,043終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETStrong model consensus from National Weather Service and other forecasting agencies supports the market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum of 78-79°F in Miami on August 7, reflecting typical August nocturnal conditions in South Florida where high humidity and light winds limit radiational cooling. Recent extended forecasts consistently project overnight lows in the upper 70s, aligning with climatological baselines of 75-80°F for the period and absent any significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric setup. Traders assign minimal probability to lower brackets due to the narrow historical range and stable steering patterns. A late-day thunderstorm cluster or unexpected increase in cloud cover could modestly suppress the minimum, though revisions would need to overcome entrenched model agreement to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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